Week results
Week 37 in review
Week 37 closed with 206 tips settled: 87 wins, 111 losses and 8 voids, for a flat-stake result of -18.70u and a per-bet ROI of -9.4%. Over/under totals carried the bulk of the activity but also the bulk of the damage, finishing 63-71 for -15.88u, while match-result (1X2) picks were smaller in volume and losses at 24-40 for -2.82u. By league, the Championship was the clear anchor dragging the book down, going 0-10 for -10.00u, with Süper Lig and Primeira Liga also well in the red. On the positive side, Premier League (5-1, +3.72u) and Eredivisie (6-4, +2.76u) were the standout contributors. The honest read: a negative week driven heavily by one league going winless across ten graded bets, a reminder that even a broad sample can be skewed by a single bad patch in one competition.
By market
| Over/Under totals | 140 tips · 63W–71L–6V · -15.88u (ROI -11.9%) |
| Match result (1X2) | 66 tips · 24W–40L–2V · -2.82u (ROI -4.4%) |
By league
| MLS | 21 tips · 9W–12L · -0.81u (ROI -3.9%) |
| Greek Super League | 13 tips · 7W–6L · +0.62u (ROI +4.8%) |
| La Liga | 12 tips · 5W–6L–1V · -1.30u (ROI -11.8%) |
| Eredivisie | 12 tips · 6W–4L–2V · +2.76u (ROI +27.6%) |
| Brasileirão | 11 tips · 6W–5L · +1.91u (ROI +17.4%) |
| Ligue 1 | 11 tips · 4W–7L · -2.64u (ROI -24%) |
| Championship | 10 tips · 0W–10L · -10.00u (ROI -100%) |
| J1 League | 10 tips · 4W–6L · -1.45u (ROI -14.5%) |
| La Liga 2 | 10 tips · 4W–4L–2V · +0.87u (ROI +10.9%) |
| Liga Profesional | 9 tips · 3W–6L · -2.07u (ROI -23%) |
| Serie A | 8 tips · 3W–4L–1V · -0.94u (ROI -13.4%) |
| Süper Lig | 8 tips · 2W–6L · -4.52u (ROI -56.5%) |
| Ekstraklasa | 8 tips · 3W–5L · -0.55u (ROI -6.9%) |
| Primeira Liga | 8 tips · 2W–6L · -4.63u (ROI -57.9%) |
| Austrian Bundesliga | 8 tips · 4W–3L–1V · +0.65u (ROI +9.3%) |
| Champions League | 7 tips · 4W–3L · +0.05u (ROI +0.7%) |
| Bundesliga | 7 tips · 2W–5L · -3.46u (ROI -49.4%) |
| Premier League | 6 tips · 5W–1L · +3.72u (ROI +62%) |
| Liga MX | 5 tips · 3W–2L · +1.70u (ROI +34%) |
| Allsvenskan | 4 tips · 2W–2L · -0.26u (ROI -6.5%) |
| League One | 4 tips · 1W–3L · -1.18u (ROI -29.5%) |
| 2. Bundesliga | 4 tips · 3W–1L · +2.81u (ROI +70.3%) |
| Danish Superliga | 3 tips · 2W–1L · +0.42u (ROI +14%) |
| Belgian Pro League | 3 tips · 0W–3L · -3.00u (ROI -100%) |
| Eliteserien | 2 tips · 1W–0L–1V · +1.23u (ROI +123%) |
| Scottish Premiership | 1 tip · 1W–0L · +0.85u (ROI +85%) |
| K League 1 | 1 tip · 1W–0L · +0.52u (ROI +52%) |
Full log
Stakes are flat 1u per tip. Kick-offs shown in UTC. Results are graded automatically after full time.
Week 37 results FAQ
The model finished the week at 87 wins, 111 losses and 8 voids from 206 settled tips, for a flat-stake loss of 18.70 units and a return on investment of -9.4%. Over/under totals accounted for most of the volume and most of the loss, while match-result bets were smaller in both count and damage. One league, the Championship, went winless across all ten of its graded bets and was the single biggest drag on the week.
No single league or market is reliably profitable every week; results shift from one week to the next, and this week's spread shows leagues like the Premier League and Eredivisie finishing well ahead while others such as the Championship and Süper Lig finished well behind. Judging a market or league on one week of data, especially smaller samples like a handful of bets in a single league, tells you very little about its long-run performance.
A negative ROI means that, at flat stakes, the losses from settled bets outweighed the wins over the period measured, in this case a 9.4% loss per bet across the week. It does not mean every pick was wrong or that the approach is inherently flawed, since a single week is a small sample and variance plays a large role in short-term betting results. It is a reminder to size stakes carefully and not chase losses.