English ⚽ MLS 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
2.00
WonResult
0-1Final score
+1.00uProfit
53%Pre-match conf.
-0.99%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Columbus Crew are priced at 1.93, implying roughly a 52 percent win probability, the clearest favourite tag in this MLS match-up
02
New York Red Bulls at 3.55 imply about a 28 percent chance, while the draw at 4.10 implies roughly 24 percent
03
No match-result selection clears our value threshold, so no side is flagged as offering an edge over the market price
04
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.93 carries a negative value edge of -6.07 percent, indicating the model rates it below the price offered rather than a clear market inefficiency
Team form
CCS Columbus Crew SC WLLWL
19 Sept 26 @ CF Montreal 2-0
12 Sept 26 vs New York Red Bulls 0-1
9 Sept 26 @ D.C. United 1-2
5 Sept 26 vs Colorado Rapids 3-0
30 Aug 26 vs New England Revolution 1-3
NYR New York Red Bulls WWLDD
18 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 1-0
12 Sept 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ Los Angeles FC 0-2
6 Sept 26 @ Seattle Sounders FC 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs Chicago Fire 1-1
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew SC v New York Red Bulls
L 12 Sept 26
Columbus Crew SC 0-1 New York Red BullsMLS
W/D/L shown from Columbus Crew SC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Columbus Crew SC vs New York Red Bulls: pre-match preview
Columbus Crew SC host New York Red Bulls in an MLS fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. At 1.93 for a Crew win, the price implies a win probability of roughly 52 percent, comfortably ahead of the Red Bulls' 3.55 (about 28 percent) and the draw at 4.10 (around 24 percent). That gap suggests bookmakers see Columbus as the stronger side on the day, though the Red Bulls' odds still leave room for an away result. Rather than picking a match-result winner, our model points to the goals market, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 1.93. That price carries a market-implied confidence of 49 percent and a value edge of -6.07 percent, meaning the model does not currently see this as a strong value angle, just the most notable signal from the data available for this Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls clash.
Verdict: The data points to Columbus Crew as market favourites, but no result market bet shows positive value. The suggested Over 3.5 goals play at 1.93 has a negative edge of -6.07 percent, so it should be treated as a speculative angle rather than a confidently backed selection, and staked with appropriate caution.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Columbus Crew SC vs New York Red Bulls?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.00.
Who is favourite between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls?+
Columbus Crew are the favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.93, which implies about a 52 percent chance of winning compared with roughly 28 percent for New York Red Bulls.
What is the draw priced at in this MLS fixture?+
The draw is priced at 4.10, which implies an approximate 24 percent probability based on the odds supplied.
Is there a value bet for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?+
No match-result selection meets the value threshold in this data set. The only recommended bet is Over 3.5 goals at 1.93, though it carries a negative value edge of -6.07 percent, so it is not a strong value pick either.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.00u at flat stakes).