English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 5.5 goals
Odds
1.54
LostResult
4-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
74%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Independiente Rivadavia's 1.52 price implies roughly a 66 percent win probability, making them heavy favourites on paper.
02
Aldosivi's 7.8 price implies only about 13 percent, reflecting a significant gap in market expectation between the two sides.
03
The draw at 3.77 (about 26 percent implied) sits well below the home win's implied chances, suggesting the market leans strongly toward a home result.
04
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.2 carries a -5.06 percent value edge against a 43 percent model confidence, indicating no clear market mispricing on this selection.
Team form
IR Independiente Rivadavia WLWDL
12 Sept 26 vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata 4-3
6 Sept 26 @ River Plate 1-3
31 Aug 26 vs Racing Club 3-1
22 Aug 26 @ Independiente 0-0
15 Aug 26 @ Belgrano de Cordoba 0-2
AMD Aldosivi Mar del Plata LWLLD
12 Sept 26 @ Independiente Rivadavia 3-4
5 Sept 26 vs Banfield 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Argentinos Juniors 1-2
21 Aug 26 vs Union Santa Fe 1-3
15 Aug 26 vs CA Tigre BA 0-0
Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
W 12 Sept 26
Independiente Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi Mar del PlataLiga Profesional
W/D/L shown from Independiente Rivadavia's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata: pre-match preview
Independiente Rivadavia head into this Liga Profesional meeting with Aldosivi Mar del Plata as clear market favourites. The best available price of 1.52 on a home win implies a probability of roughly 66 percent, while Aldosivi's 7.8 price puts their chances at only about 13 percent, with the draw priced at 3.77 (around 26 percent). That gap points to a lopsided market view of this fixture. Away from the result market, our model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 2.2 as its recommended angle, though it flags a modest negative edge of -5.06 percent against a 43 percent confidence read, meaning the bet sits closer to fair value than to a clear market mispricing. Bettors weighing this Liga Profesional clash should treat the goals line as a plausible but unproven angle rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The data points firmly to Independiente Rivadavia as favourites, but no value picks clear our threshold. The Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.2 is the model's lead suggestion, though its slightly negative edge means it should be viewed as a moderate-risk option rather than a confidently backed selection.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata?+
Our tip was Under 5.5 goals at odds of 1.54.
Who is favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata?+
Independiente Rivadavia are strong favourites, with odds of 1.52 implying a win probability of roughly 66 percent, compared to about 13 percent for Aldosivi.
What is the draw priced at in this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.77 with the best available odds, which implies a probability of around 26 percent.
Is there a value bet for this fixture?+
No selection clears our value threshold; the model's recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.2 actually shows a slight negative edge of -5.06 percent against its 43 percent confidence level.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 4-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).