English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 7 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.03
WonResult
1-1Final score
+1.03uProfit
51%Pre-match conf.
-5.14%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Pogoń Szczecin's 1.95 price implies close to a 51% win probability, the strongest of the three outright outcomes.
02
Wisła Płock's 4.3 price implies around 23% and carries the highest quoted value edge among the outright markets, at roughly 5.13%.
03
The draw sits at 3.75, implying about 27%, keeping it a live possibility despite Pogoń's favourite tag.
04
The model's Over 2.5 goals recommendation at 1.78 shows a 53% implied confidence but carries a negative value edge of about -5.16%, suggesting the price may be tighter than the model would prefer.
Team form
PS Pogoń Szczecin WWDDW
20 Sept 26 @ Piast Gliwice 2-1
13 Sept 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 2-0
7 Sept 26 vs Wisła Płock 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Wisła Kraków 2-2
8 Aug 26 vs Motor Lublin 3-1
WP Wisła Płock WWDLL
20 Sept 26 @ Zagłębie Lubin 2-0
13 Sept 26 vs Cracovia Kraków 3-1
7 Sept 26 @ Pogoń Szczecin 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ GKS Katowice 0-5
7 Aug 26 @ Wisła Kraków 1-2
Head-to-head: Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock
D 7 Sept 26
Pogoń Szczecin 1-1 Wisła PłockEkstraklasa
W/D/L shown from Pogoń Szczecin's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock: pre-match preview
Pogoń Szczecin host Wisła Płock in an Ekstraklasa fixture where the betting markets clearly lean toward the home side. Best odds of 1.95 on Pogoń imply a win probability of roughly 51%, while Wisła's 4.3 price points to only about 23%, with the draw priced at 3.75 (around 27%). That gap suggests bookmakers see Pogoń as a solid, though not overwhelming, favourite. Away from the outright market, the site's model steers attention to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, a price that implies a 53% chance of that outcome occurring based on the model's own confidence reading. It's worth noting the model flags a negative value edge on that selection, meaning the quoted price may not fully compensate for the assessed risk. Meanwhile, a modest value edge appears on Wisła Płock's outright price, worth weighing for those exploring longer-odds angles in this Ekstraklasa clash.
Verdict: The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.78 reflects moderate model confidence around 53%, but its negative value edge means the price doesn't clearly favour bettors by the model's own measure. It's a plausible angle rather than a standout opportunity, so stake sizing and caution are advised.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.03 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:15 | Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom | 1.14 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.03.
Who is favourite in the Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock match?+
Pogoń Szczecin are the market favourites, priced at 1.95 which implies roughly a 51% chance of victory, compared to about 23% implied for Wisła Płock at 4.3.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.75, implying an approximate 27% probability, making it a realistic alternative to a straight win for either side.
Is there value in backing Wisła Płock to win?+
According to the model, Wisła Płock's 4.3 price carries a fair probability estimate of 24% against an implied 23%, producing a modest value edge of about 5.13%, though this remains a higher-risk, underdog-priced bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-1 (+1.03u at flat stakes).