English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 7 Sept 2026
Our tip
Mjällby AIF to win
Odds
2.35
LostResult
1-4Final score
-1.00uProfit
47%Pre-match conf.
-3.69%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Mjällby AIF are priced at 2.05, implying roughly a 49 percent win probability and making them the market's favourite
02
IFK Goteborg's 3.75 odds imply about 27 percent, with the draw sharing the same 3.75 price and implied probability
03
A value comparison flags IFK Goteborg as a possible value pick, with a fair probability estimate of 28 percent against a 5.71 percent edge at the 3.75 price
04
The Over 2.5 goals recommendation carries a 54 percent implied confidence but shows a negative value edge of -4.67 percent, so it is not a clear-cut value play by the model's own metric
Team form
MA Mjällby AIF LDDLL
20 Sept 26 vs GAIS 0-3
16 Sept 26 @ AIK 1-1
11 Sept 26 @ BK Hacken 1-1
7 Sept 26 vs IFK Goteborg 1-4
3 Sept 26 vs Djurgardens IF 0-2
IG IFK Goteborg WWWWD
19 Sept 26 @ IF Brommapojkarna 1-0
12 Sept 26 vs Halmstads BK 2-1
7 Sept 26 @ Mjällby AIF 4-1
30 Aug 26 vs Örgryte IS 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs IF Elfsborg 1-1
Head-to-head: Mjällby AIF v IFK Goteborg
L 7 Sept 26
Mjällby AIF 1-4 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from Mjällby AIF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg: pre-match preview
Mjällby AIF host IFK Goteborg in an Allsvenskan clash where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. At odds of 2.05 for Mjällby, the price implies a win probability of roughly 49 percent, while IFK Goteborg's 3.75 quote points to about 27 percent, with the draw priced identically at 3.75 for another 27 percent. That spread suggests bookmakers see Mjällby as moderate favourites without expecting a one-sided contest. Away from the match-result market, the goals side of the board draws attention too: our model flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.76 as its recommended angle, translating to a market-implied confidence of 54 percent, though the calculated value edge sits slightly negative at -4.67 percent, meaning the price is not obviously generous relative to that estimate.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.76 reflects a coin-flip-plus scenario for goals, but its negative value edge means the price does not clearly favour bettors versus the model's estimate. IFK Goteborg's 3.75 price shows a small positive edge, worth noting but still speculative given their underdog status. Stake modestly and treat both as calculated risks, not certainties.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-4, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg?+
Our tip was Mjällby AIF to win at odds of 2.35.
Who is favourite in the Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg match?+
Mjällby AIF are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.05 which implies roughly a 49 percent win probability, compared with IFK Goteborg's 27 percent implied chance.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.75, the same price as an IFK Goteborg win, implying about a 27 percent probability for a drawn result.
Is there value in betting on this match?+
The data flags IFK Goteborg at 3.75 as a possible value price, with a fair probability estimate of 28 percent giving a 5.71 percent edge, though this is still an underdog bet with no certainty attached.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-4 (-1.00u at flat stakes).