English ⚽ MLS 🕒 10 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.96
WonResult
2-0Final score
+0.96uProfit
54%Pre-match conf.
-3.45%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
LAFC's 1.56 price implies about a 64 percent win probability, a significant favourite tag by market standards
02
New York Red Bulls at 5.1 imply only around 20 percent, with the draw at 4.8 priced almost identically at roughly 21 percent
03
The recommended Under 3.5 Goals selection at 1.96 carries a stated 54 percent model confidence and a 5.62 percent edge versus the market price
04
No standout value picks were flagged in the standard match-result market, suggesting the outright winner odds are viewed as fairly priced
Team form
LAF Los Angeles FC DLWDD
19 Sept 26 @ San Jose Earthquakes 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ Sporting Kansas City 1-3
10 Sept 26 vs New York Red Bulls 2-0
6 Sept 26 @ Real Salt Lake 2-2
23 Aug 26 vs Portland Timbers 1-1
NYR New York Red Bulls WWLDD
18 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 1-0
12 Sept 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ Los Angeles FC 0-2
6 Sept 26 @ Seattle Sounders FC 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs Chicago Fire 1-1
Head-to-head: Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls
W 10 Sept 26
Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMLS
W/D/L shown from Los Angeles FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls: pre-match preview
Los Angeles FC host the New York Red Bulls in an MLS fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the perceived gap between the two sides. LAFC are priced at 1.56 to win at home, which implies a win probability of roughly 64 percent, making them clear favourites on paper. New York Red Bulls, at 5.1, are given only around a 20 percent chance, while the draw at 4.8 sits close behind at just under 21 percent. Rather than backing the match result outright, our model points toward the total-goals market, recommending Under 3.5 Goals at 1.96 with a quoted 54 percent confidence level and a 5.62 percent value edge over the raw price. That suggests the goals market may offer better relative value than trying to pick the outright winner in this LAFC v Red Bulls clash.
Verdict: The data points to LAFC as strong favourites, but the clearer market angle is the goals total, where Under 3.5 at 1.96 offers a modest statistical edge. It is not a high-confidence lock, so this should be treated as a measured, moderate-risk selection rather than a certainty.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.96 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.96.
Who is favourite in the LAFC vs New York Red Bulls match?+
Los Angeles FC are the clear favourites, priced at 1.56, which implies roughly a 64 percent chance of victory according to the market.
What is the draw priced at for this MLS fixture?+
The draw is priced at 4.8, implying a probability of just under 21 percent, similar to New York Red Bulls' own win chance.
Is there value in betting on this LAFC vs Red Bulls game?+
The model does not flag value in the straight match-result market, but it identifies value in Under 3.5 Goals at 1.96, citing a 5.62 percent edge and 54 percent confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-0 (+0.96u at flat stakes).