English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Bournemouth to win
Odds
2.69
LostResult
2-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
40%Pre-match conf.
+3.86%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Bournemouth and Brentford share identical best-market odds of 2.69, implying near-equal 37% win probabilities for each side.
02
The draw at 3.8 (Betfair) implies about 26% probability, keeping all three outcomes within a fairly narrow range.
03
The model rates Bournemouth's winning chance at roughly 40%, above the market-implied 37%, generating an 8.2% value edge on their price.
04
No value picks were flagged elsewhere in the market, meaning the Bournemouth win is the standout data-backed angle for this fixture.
Team form
BOU Bournemouth LDDDL
20 Sept 26 vs Liverpool 0-1
12 Sept 26 vs Brentford 2-2
5 Sept 26 @ Newcastle 2-2
29 Aug 26 vs Everton 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ Man City 1-2
BRE Brentford WDDDW
18 Sept 26 vs Chelsea 3-0
12 Sept 26 @ Bournemouth 2-2
5 Sept 26 vs Sunderland 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Leeds United 1-1
22 Aug 26 vs Tottenham 3-0
Head-to-head: Bournemouth v Brentford
Full H2H history → D 12 Sept 26
Bournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
D 3 Mar 26
Bournemouth 0-0 BrentfordPremier League
L 27 Dec 25
Brentford 4-1 BournemouthPremier League
W/D/L shown from Bournemouth's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Bournemouth vs Brentford: pre-match preview
Bournemouth host Brentford in a Premier League fixture where the betting market sees almost no separation between the two sides. Both teams are priced at 2.69 with the best odds available (1xBet), which works out to an implied probability of roughly 37% each for a straight win. The draw, best backed at 3.8 with Betfair, implies around 26%, rounding out a market that reads as a genuine toss-up on paper. Our model, though, leans toward Bournemouth, rating their true winning chance at about 40% against the market's 37%, producing a value edge of 8.2% on the 2.69 price. That gap is the basis for the recommended bet, though with three closely matched outcomes priced so tightly, this remains a competitive, unpredictable match rather than a lopsided one.
Verdict: The recommended play is Bournemouth to win at 2.69, based on an 8.2% edge over the market's implied probability. It is a moderate-value angle rather than a strong favourite scenario, given the tight three-way pricing, so this should be treated as a considered stake within a balanced bankroll approach, not a high-confidence certainty.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?+
Our tip was Bournemouth to win at odds of 2.69.
Who are the favourites in the Bournemouth vs Brentford odds?+
Neither side is a clear favourite; both Bournemouth and Brentford share the same best price of 2.69, implying roughly equal 37% win probabilities for each.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The best available draw odds are 3.8 with Betfair, which implies around a 26% chance of the match ending level.
Is there value in backing Bournemouth to win?+
According to the model, yes: it rates Bournemouth's win probability at about 40%, above the market's implied 37%, producing an 8.2% value edge at the 2.69 price, though this is not a guarantee of the outcome.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).