English ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.72
WonResult
2-1Final score
+0.72uProfit
62%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sturm Graz (2.51) and LASK (2.6) are priced almost identically, putting their implied win probabilities within about 1.3 percentage points of each other.
02
The draw at 3.6 implies roughly 27.8 percent, making it the least likely single outcome among the three match-result options.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals price of 1.65 implies a 60.6 percent chance, but the model's confidence of 57 percent is lower than that implied probability, giving a negative edge of -5.71 percent.
04
No match-result selections cleared the site's value threshold, meaning the market's win/draw/win pricing is currently viewed as fair rather than mispriced.
Team form
SG Sturm Graz LWLDW
20 Sept 26 @ RB Salzburg 0-3
13 Sept 26 vs LASK 2-1
30 Aug 26 @ Rapid Wien 1-3
22 Aug 26 vs Austria Lustenau 1-1
15 Aug 26 vs Rheindorf Altach 1-0
LAS LASK DLWWW
20 Sept 26 @ Hartberg 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ Sturm Graz 1-2
1 Sept 26 @ Wolfsberger AC 3-1
14 Aug 26 vs Ried 4-1
9 Aug 26 @ Austria Wien 2-0
Head-to-head: Sturm Graz v LASK
W 13 Sept 26
Sturm Graz 2-1 LASKAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Sturm Graz's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sturm Graz vs LASK: pre-match preview
Sturm Graz host LASK in an Austrian Bundesliga clash that the betting market rates as close to a coin toss between the two sides, with the draw priced separately and slightly less likely than either team winning outright. Sturm Graz are marginal favourites at 2.51 with 1xBet, implying a win probability of roughly 39.8 percent, while LASK sit at 2.6 with Coolbet, implying about 38.5 percent. The draw at 3.6 implies roughly 27.8 percent, rounding out a fixture with no standout favourite. Rather than picking a side in the match result market, our model points to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 with 1xBet. That price implies a 60.6 percent chance of three or more goals, though the model's own confidence sits a touch lower at 57 percent, producing a negative value edge of -5.71 percent on this selection.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.65 is the model's lead suggestion, but its own numbers show a negative edge against the market price, so this is not flagged as strong value. Treat it as a moderate-confidence angle rather than a high-conviction play, and size stakes accordingly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.72 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sturm Graz vs LASK?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72.
Who is favourite in the Sturm Graz vs LASK match?+
Sturm Graz are the narrow favourites at 2.51 with 1xBet, implying about 39.8 percent win probability, just ahead of LASK at 2.6 (about 38.5 percent) with Coolbet.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 27.8 percent chance, making it less likely than either team winning according to the market.
Is there value in betting on this Sturm Graz vs LASK game?+
No match-result selections met the site's value threshold in this market. The model's top suggestion, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, actually shows a slightly negative edge of -5.71 percent, so it should be treated as a moderate rather than high-value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+0.72u at flat stakes).