2. Bundesliga · kicked off 11 Sept 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Market prices are closely bunched: Nürnberg at 2.49 (about 40% implied), Hannover 96 at 2.65 (about 38% implied), draw at 3.75 (about 27% implied).
The gap between the two match-winner prices is small, indicating the bookmakers do not see a clear favourite in either direction.
The model's recommended bet, Nürnberg to win, carries a 42% confidence reading and a 4.43% value edge versus the market price, the only selection flagged as worth highlighting.
No other value picks cleared the model's threshold for this fixture, meaning Hannover 96 and the draw are viewed as fairly priced or unfavourable relative to their odds.
W/D/L shown from 1. FC Nürnberg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
1. FC Nürnberg host Hannover 96 in a tightly priced 2. Bundesliga clash where the bookmakers see very little separating the two sides. The best available price on a home win is 2.49 with Suprabets, which implies a probability of roughly 40%, while Hannover 96 are priced at 2.65 with Coolbet, translating to around 38%. The draw sits at 3.75, implying close to 27%. With such a narrow spread across all three outcomes, this looks like one of the more competitive fixtures on the 2. Bundesliga card. Our model has run the numbers and flags 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 2.49 as the recommended selection, citing a market-implied confidence of 42% and a value edge of 4.43% over the raw market price, suggesting the home side may be slightly underpriced relative to their true chances.
Verdict: The recommended angle is 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 2.49, backed by a modest 4.43% value edge and 42% implied confidence. It is not a strong favourite situation, more a marginal statistical edge, so this should be treated as a measured, risk-aware selection rather than a high-conviction pick.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.49 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our tip was 1. FC Nürnberg to win at odds of 2.49.
Based on the best available odds, 1. FC Nürnberg are marginal favourites at 2.49, implying roughly a 40% chance, just ahead of Hannover 96 at 2.65 (about 38%).
The draw is priced at 3.75 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of around 27%.
The model flags 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 2.49 as carrying a 4.43% value edge with 42% implied confidence; no other selections in this match cleared the value threshold.
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+1.49u at flat stakes).
English