Greek Super League · Sun · 18:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Panathinaikos are priced at 1.26, an implied probability of roughly 79%, making them heavy favourites over AE Kifisia FC.
AE Kifisia at 15.0 imply only about 7% chance, one of the widest price gaps on the board.
The draw at 5.5 implies around 18%, but our model's fair probability of 22% points to a value edge of about 21.81%.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.92 sits near 50% implied confidence, though the value edge is slightly negative at -4.76%.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.50 | +21.8% | 22% | 68 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| AE Kifisia FC | 15.00 | Nordic Bet | 6.7% |
| Panathinaikos | 1.26 | Coolbet | 79.4% |
| Draw | 5.50 | Coolbet | 18.2% |
Panathinaikos host AE Kifisia FC in the Greek Super League as clear favourites, and the market leaves little doubt about that hierarchy. A best price of 1.26 on the home side translates to roughly a 79% implied probability, marking one of the more lopsided pricings you will see. AE Kifisia sit at the other extreme at 15.0, implying only around 7% before margin, while the draw is offered at 5.5, or about 18% implied. Our model prefers a total-goals angle here, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.92 with market-implied confidence near 50%. It is worth noting the value edge on that line reads slightly negative at -4.76%, so it is presented as a lean rather than a standout number. The more interesting value signal from our figures actually sits on the draw, where the fair probability of 22% suggests the 5.5 price carries a positive edge.
Verdict: The recommended lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.92, roughly a coin-flip proposition by implied odds. Be aware the value edge is marginally negative, so treat it as a modest lean. Our stronger value signal is the draw at 5.5. Stake responsibly and only within your budget.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 17:00 | AEK Athens v Iraklis FC | 1.18 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| 22 Aug 17:00 | Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 4.04 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| 22 Aug 19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens | 1.23 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 16:30 | OFI Crete v Volos FC | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos | 1.30 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:30 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.92, with a 50% confidence rating.
Panathinaikos are strong favourites at a best price of 1.26, implying about a 79% chance. AE Kifisia FC are long outsiders at 15.0, around 7% implied.
The draw is available at 5.5, an implied probability of roughly 18%. Our model assigns it a fair probability of 22%, which points to a positive value edge of about 21.81%.
By our figures, the draw at 5.5 shows the clearest value edge. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.92 is a near coin-flip lean but carries a slightly negative edge of -4.76%.
Panathinaikos vs AE Kifisia FC takes place Sun · 18:00 in the Greek Super League.
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