English ⚽ La Liga 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Sevilla to win
Odds
2.43
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
44%Pre-match conf.
-0.41%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sevilla are priced at 2.4, implying roughly a 42% chance of victory, the shortest odds of the three outcomes.
02
Valencia's 3.32 price implies about 30% probability, making them the outsider on paper but not a heavy underdog.
03
The draw at 3.22 is priced close to Sevilla's win odds, reflecting a market view of a tightly contested match.
04
The model flags a 3.1% value edge on Sevilla to win at 2.4, the only selection in this fixture to clear its value threshold.
Team form
SEV Sevilla LWWDL
19 Sept 26 vs Barça 1-3
16 Sept 26 @ Deportivo 1-0
11 Sept 26 vs Valencia 1-0
6 Sept 26 @ Espanyol 1-1
29 Aug 26 vs Atleti 1-3
VAL Valencia WLLLL
15 Sept 26 @ Alavés 1-0
11 Sept 26 @ Sevilla FC 0-1
6 Sept 26 vs Barça 0-5
30 Aug 26 @ Deportivo 1-3
25 Aug 26 vs Real Betis 0-1
Head-to-head: Sevilla v Valencia
Full H2H history → W 11 Sept 26
Sevilla FC 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
L 21 Mar 26
Sevilla FC 0-2 ValenciaLa Liga
D 7 Dec 25
Valencia 1-1 Sevilla FCLa Liga
W/D/L shown from Sevilla's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sevilla vs Valencia: pre-match preview
Sevilla host Valencia in a La Liga fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them an overwhelming favourite. At 2.4 with Tipico, Sevilla's price implies a win probability of roughly 42%, while Valencia at 3.32 with Pinnacle points to around 30%. The draw, priced at 3.22 with Marathon Bet, sits close behind Sevilla's number, suggesting bookmakers see a genuinely competitive match rather than a one-sided contest. Our model's recommended angle backs Sevilla to win at 2.4, citing a market-implied confidence of 43% and a modest value edge of 3.1% against the wider market consensus. No other selection in this fixture cleared the value threshold, meaning the Sevilla win stands as the single data-backed pick from the numbers available. Bettors should treat this as a moderate lean rather than a strong certainty given how tightly the three outcomes are priced.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Sevilla to win at 2.4, supported by a 43% implied confidence and a 3.1% value edge over market consensus. It is a moderate rather than strong lean, since the draw is priced almost identically, so this should be viewed as a value-based suggestion, not a high-certainty pick. Wager within your means.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 11 Sept 26
Sevilla to winfinal score 1-0
2.40 +1.40u L 11 Sept 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-0
2.45 -1.00u Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Valencia v Real Sociedad | 3.18 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
| 9 Oct 19:00 | Málaga v Espanyol | 2.50 | 3.38 | 3.13 |
| 10 Oct 12:00 | Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao | 3.20 | 3.51 | 2.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:15 | Alavés v Atlético Madrid | 3.90 | 3.75 | 2.08 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Barcelona v Getafe | 1.07 | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| 10 Oct 19:00 | Real Madrid v Villarreal | 1.27 | 7.50 | 11.30 |
| 11 Oct 12:00 | Elche CF v Celta Vigo | 3.03 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| 11 Oct 14:15 | Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruña | 1.97 | 3.75 | 4.21 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atleti | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alavés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Celta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sevilla vs Valencia?+
Our tip was Sevilla to win at odds of 2.43.
Who is favourite in the Sevilla vs Valencia match?+
Sevilla are the market favourites at 2.4 with Tipico, which implies a win probability of roughly 42%, the highest of the three possible outcomes.
What is the draw priced at in this fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.22 with Marathon Bet, implying a probability of around 31%, close behind Sevilla's implied chance of winning.
Is there value in betting on this Sevilla vs Valencia game?+
According to the model, the only selection clearing the value threshold is Sevilla to win at 2.4, with a 3.1% edge and 43% implied confidence; no value picks were flagged for Valencia or the draw.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).