English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Botafogo to win
Odds
2.16
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
-10.74%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Botafogo are priced at 2.16, implying roughly 46 percent win probability, the clearest favourite tag in this market
02
Bragantino-SP at 3.52 imply around 28 percent, while the draw at 3.40 sits close behind at about 29 percent, keeping the non-favourite outcomes competitive
03
The model's recommended Botafogo win carries a modest 3.2 percent value edge and 48 percent implied confidence, suggesting a slight but not decisive market inefficiency
04
No value picks elsewhere in the match cleared the site's threshold, meaning the home win is the only price-supported angle from this dataset
Team form
BOT Botafogo LWDDL
19 Sept 26 @ Mirassol 0-2
16 Sept 26 vs Grêmio 3-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bragantino 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs Palmeiras 0-0
30 Aug 26 @ Flamengo 0-3
BRA Bragantino-SP DLLWD
12 Sept 26 @ Botafogo 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs Bahia 2-3
29 Aug 26 @ São Paulo 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Grêmio 1-0
15 Aug 26 @ Paranaense 1-1
Head-to-head: Botafogo v Bragantino-SP
Full H2H history → D 12 Sept 26
Botafogo 1-1 BragantinoBrasileirão
W 21 Mar 26
Bragantino 1-2 BotafogoBrasileirão
W 30 Aug 25
Botafogo 4-1 BragantinoBrasileirão
L 12 Apr 25
Bragantino 1-0 BotafogoBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Botafogo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Botafogo vs Bragantino-SP: pre-match preview
Botafogo host Bragantino-SP in a Brasileirão fixture where the betting market gives a clear, if not overwhelming, edge to the home side. The best price on Botafogo winning is 2.16 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 46 percent, comfortably ahead of Bragantino-SP at 3.52 (about 28 percent) and the draw at 3.40 (around 29 percent). That spread suggests bookmakers see this as a contest with a moderately favoured host rather than a one-sided affair. Our model aligns with that view, recommending Botafogo to win at 2.16, citing a market-implied confidence of 48 percent and a value edge of 3.2 percent over the raw market price. No other selection in this match cleared our value threshold, so the home win stands as the standout angle from a purely price-driven perspective heading into kick-off.
Verdict: The data points to Botafogo as the market's preferred outcome, with the recommended 2.16 price offering a small calculated edge rather than a strong statistical lock. Given the draw and away price are both live possibilities near 28-29 percent, this remains a moderate-risk selection worth sizing cautiously within a balanced bankroll approach.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Botafogo vs Bragantino-SP?+
Our tip was Botafogo to win at odds of 2.16.
Who is favourite in the Botafogo vs Bragantino-SP match?+
Botafogo are the market favourite, priced at 2.16 with 1xBet, which implies an approximate 46 percent chance of winning, ahead of both the draw and a Bragantino-SP win.
What is the draw priced at in this Brasileirão fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.40 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 29 percent probability, close to Bragantino-SP's own implied win probability.
Is there value in backing Botafogo to win this game?+
According to the model, yes to a limited degree, Botafogo's 2.16 price carries a 3.2 percent value edge and 48 percent implied confidence, though no other market selections showed value above the site's threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).