English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.91
LostResult
3-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
-1.04%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Match-result prices are tightly bunched, with Wisła Płock (2.7) and Cracovia Kraków (2.75) separated by only a fraction of a point.
02
Implied probabilities sit close together at roughly 37% for Wisła Płock, 36% for Cracovia Kraków, and 30% for the draw, reflecting an evenly matched fixture on paper.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.2 comes with a modelled confidence of 44%, below the level needed to justify the price purely on model terms.
04
The stated value edge on the Over 2.5 selection is -4.1%, and no match-result selections cleared the site's value threshold, so this is not flagged as a strong-value fixture overall.
Team form
WP Wisła Płock WWDLL
20 Sept 26 @ Zagłębie Lubin 2-0
13 Sept 26 vs Cracovia Kraków 3-1
7 Sept 26 @ Pogoń Szczecin 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ GKS Katowice 0-5
7 Aug 26 @ Wisła Kraków 1-2
CK Cracovia Kraków LLLWW
19 Sept 26 @ GKS Katowice 2-3
13 Sept 26 @ Wisła Płock 1-3
6 Sept 26 vs Górnik Zabrze 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 3-2
16 Aug 26 vs Raków Częstochowa 2-1
Head-to-head: Wisła Płock v Cracovia Kraków
W 13 Sept 26
Wisła Płock 3-1 Cracovia KrakówEkstraklasa
W/D/L shown from Wisła Płock's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Wisła Płock vs Cracovia Kraków: pre-match preview
Ekstraklasa action sees Wisła Płock host Cracovia Kraków in a fixture the odds mark as close to a coin flip. Best prices have Wisła Płock at 2.7 with Coolbet, Cracovia Kraków slightly behind at 2.75 with Unibet (NL), and the draw priced at 3.3, also with Coolbet. Converting those odds gives Wisła Płock an implied win probability of roughly 37%, Cracovia Kraków around 36%, and the draw near 30% before accounting for bookmaker margin, so the market treats this as a genuinely open contest rather than a clear favourite versus underdog scenario. Away from the result market, the site's model points to an Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.2 with Unibet (NL), though it carries a modelled confidence of 44% and a negative value edge of -4.1%, meaning the numbers do not currently support it as a clear value play.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.2 is the only actionable angle highlighted, but its 44% modelled confidence and -4.1% edge mean it is not a clear-cut value bet. Given the tightly priced match-result market, this fixture leans toward cautious, small-stake consideration rather than confident backing.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 13 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 3-1
1.85 -1.00u Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:15 | Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom | 1.14 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Wisła Płock vs Cracovia Kraków?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91.
Who is the favourite between Wisła Płock and Cracovia Kraków?+
The odds make it very close, with Wisła Płock at 2.7 marginally shorter than Cracovia Kraków at 2.75, implying win probabilities of about 37% and 36% respectively.
What is the draw priced at for this Ekstraklasa fixture?+
The best available price on the draw is 3.3 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 30% chance based on the market.
Is there a recommended value bet for Wisła Płock vs Cracovia Kraków?+
No match-result selection cleared the site's value threshold. The only flagged pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.2, though it carries a negative value edge of -4.1% and 44% modelled confidence, so it should be treated cautiously rather than as a strong value opportunity.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).