English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.00
LostResult
3-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
-6.54%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Juventus are priced at 1.65 to win, implying around 61 percent probability and establishing them as the clear market favourite over Sassuolo.
02
Sassuolo's 6.2 price implies roughly 16 percent, the lowest of the three outcomes, reflecting the market's view of them as underdogs at home.
03
The draw at 4.14 implies close to 24 percent, a notable share that keeps this from being a one-sided market read.
04
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.95 carries a market-implied confidence of 51 percent but shows a slightly negative value edge of -1.27 percent, meaning it is not flagged as a strong value opportunity.
Team form
SAS Sassuolo LWDWL
18 Sept 26 @ Monza 1-2
13 Sept 26 vs Juventus 3-2
6 Sept 26 @ Bologna 2-2
29 Aug 26 vs Torino 2-1
23 Aug 26 @ Atalanta 1-2
JUV Juventus WLDWW
20 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-0
13 Sept 26 @ Sassuolo 2-3
6 Sept 26 vs Milan 1-1
29 Aug 26 vs Parma 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Frosinone 1-0
Head-to-head: Sassuolo v Juventus
Full H2H history → W 13 Sept 26
Sassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
D 21 Mar 26
Juventus 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
L 6 Jan 26
Sassuolo 0-3 JuventusSerie A
W/D/L shown from Sassuolo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sassuolo vs Juventus: pre-match preview
Sassuolo host Juventus in a Serie A fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Juventus are priced at 1.65 for the win, implying a probability of roughly 61 percent, making them clear favourites heading to Sassuolo. The hosts sit at 6.2, translating to about 16 percent, while the draw is priced at 4.14, or roughly 24 percent, a figure that suggests bookmakers see some resistance from Sassuolo even if an outright win looks unlikely. Away from the result market, the site's model points to Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 as its recommended angle, with an implied confidence of 51 percent. That price sits close to fair value, meaning the pick leans more on goals expectation than on any standout mispricing in the match-result market.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.95 aligns closely with its implied probability, offering a roughly coin-flip proposition on goals rather than a clear edge. With a value edge of -1.27 percent, this is a fair-priced rather than standout bet, and bettors should treat it as moderate risk and size stakes accordingly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00.
Who are the favourites in the Sassuolo vs Juventus match?+
Juventus are the clear favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.65, which implies around a 61 percent chance of winning.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is priced at 4.14, implying an approximate 24 percent probability, which is a meaningful share of the market despite Juventus being favoured.
Is there a value bet for Sassuolo vs Juventus?+
No standout value picks are listed above the site's threshold for this fixture. The recommended play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.95, though it carries a slightly negative value edge of -1.27 percent rather than a clear market inefficiency.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).