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Data research

Not opinion pieces: every study on this page is computed from our own pipeline data and rebuilds automatically every day. Cite them, link them, check them.

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We published 900+ picks and lost 6%

The full audit of our own losing record: calibration, markets, months, and what we changed.

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What betting really costs

Best-price 1X2 margins by league, recomputed from every refresh.

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The most unpredictable leagues

Home advantage, draws and goals across thousands of matches.

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The CLV experiment

Can a transparent model beat the closing line? A public, falsifiable test.

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Home advantage by league

What playing at home is worth in goals and win share — measured, not assumed.

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How prices move before kick-off

Every published pick’s price, snapshotted run by run: who shortens, who drifts.

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.