English ⚽ MLS 🕒 9 Sept 2026
Our tip
Charlotte FC to win
Odds
2.90
WonResult
1-2Final score
+1.90uProfit
39%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at LeoVegas (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
CF Montreal are priced as favourites at 2.37, implying close to a 42% chance of winning this MLS meeting.
02
Charlotte FC's 2.90 price implies about 34%, but the model's 39% fair probability creates a 12.85% value edge on their win market.
03
The draw at 4.17 implies roughly 24%, while the model's fair probability of 26% points to a smaller 9.14% edge on that outcome.
04
Overall the three-way market is fairly tight, with value concentrated on the underdog and draw prices rather than the outright favourite.
Team form
CM CF Montreal LLLLD
19 Sept 26 vs Columbus Crew SC 0-2
13 Sept 26 @ Colorado Rapids 0-1
9 Sept 26 vs Charlotte FC 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Philadelphia Union 0-2
22 Aug 26 vs LA Galaxy 2-2
CF Charlotte FC WDWDW
19 Sept 26 @ D.C. United 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ FC Cincinnati 3-3
9 Sept 26 @ CF Montreal 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs D.C. United 3-1
Head-to-head: CF Montreal v Charlotte FC
L 9 Sept 26
CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte FCMLS
W/D/L shown from CF Montreal's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC: pre-match preview
CF Montreal host Charlotte FC in an MLS fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side. Montreal's best price of 2.37 implies roughly a 42% chance of victory, making them the nominal favourites over Charlotte FC, whose 2.90 price points to about a 34% implied probability. The draw sits at 4.17, translating to roughly 24% implied probability. Despite Montreal's shorter odds, our model flags Charlotte FC's win price as the standout value angle, assigning them a 39% fair probability against the market's 34%, a gap worth 12.85% in value terms. The draw also shows a modest edge, with a fair probability near 26% against the 24% implied by the 4.17 price. Together these numbers suggest a competitive match where the raw favourite tag does not fully align with the model's read of the outcome distribution.
Verdict: The model favours backing Charlotte FC at 2.90, citing a 12.85% edge over the implied market probability. This remains an underdog selection against a market-favoured Montreal side, so it carries moderate risk and should be sized with care rather than treated as a high-confidence pick.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +1.90 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC?+
Our tip was Charlotte FC to win at odds of 2.90.
Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC?+
CF Montreal are the market favourites at 2.37, which implies roughly a 42% chance of winning, compared with Charlotte FC's 2.90 price implying about 34%.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The draw is available at 4.17, implying roughly a 24% probability, and the model rates it as a modest value pick with a 9.14% edge.
Is there value in backing Charlotte FC to win?+
According to the model, yes, Charlotte FC's 2.90 price carries a 12.85% edge based on a 39% fair-probability estimate, though they are still priced as underdogs by the market.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+1.90u at flat stakes).