English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 14 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.98
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
54%Pre-match conf.
-19.18%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Como are strongly favoured at 1.34, implying an approximate 75 percent chance of victory according to the market.
02
Parma's 13.0 price implies roughly 8 percent, reflecting minimal market expectation of an away win.
03
The draw at 6.2 implies around 16 percent, keeping it a live but unlikely secondary outcome.
04
The Under 2.5 goals selection at 2.1 shows an 8.21 percent value edge against the model's 52 percent confidence, the standout data point among the offered markets.
Team form
COM Como LWWWD
20 Sept 26 @ Frosinone 0-2
14 Sept 26 vs Parma 2-1
4 Sept 26 @ Genoa 4-1
30 Aug 26 @ Napoli 2-1
22 Aug 26 @ Udinese 1-1
PAR Parma WLDLL
20 Sept 26 vs Genoa 2-1
14 Sept 26 @ Como 1907 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Monza 1-1
29 Aug 26 @ Juventus 0-2
22 Aug 26 vs Cagliari 0-1
Head-to-head: Como v Parma
Full H2H history → W 14 Sept 26
Como 1907 2-1 ParmaSerie A
W 17 May 26
Como 1907 1-0 ParmaSerie A
D 25 Oct 25
Parma 0-0 Como 1907Serie A
W/D/L shown from Como's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Como vs Parma: pre-match preview
Serie A brings Como and Parma together with the market leaving little doubt about the expected outcome. Como are priced at 1.34 with 1xBet, which implies a win probability of roughly 75 percent, making them heavy favourites for this fixture. Parma, by contrast, sit out at 13.0 with Tipico, translating to just under 8 percent implied probability, while the draw at 6.2 suggests around 16 percent. These prices point to a lopsided contest on paper, at least according to bookmakers. Away from the match-result market, our model's recommended angle is Under 2.5 goals at 2.1 with 1xBet, carrying a modelled confidence of 52 percent and a value edge of 8.21 percent, suggesting the total-goals market may offer better relative value than backing the favourite outright at short odds.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.1, supported by a modest but genuine value edge rather than overwhelming certainty. With confidence just above the coin-flip line, this is a measured, moderate-risk selection rather than a high-conviction one, and should be sized accordingly within a disciplined staking plan.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 13 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
1.93 0.00u Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Como vs Parma?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.98.
Who is favourite in the Como vs Parma match?+
Como are clear favourites, priced at 1.34 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 75 percent win probability according to the market.
What are the odds on a draw between Como and Parma?+
The draw is priced at 6.2 with Tipico, implying an approximate 16 percent chance.
Is there value in this Como vs Parma fixture?+
The match-result market shows no value picks above threshold, but the Under 2.5 goals market at 2.1 carries an 8.21 percent value edge with 52 percent modelled confidence, making it the notable option from the data available.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).