English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.0 goals
Odds
1.88
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
53%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Lech Poznań are favourites at 1.8, implying about a 56% win probability, well ahead of Wisła Płock at 4.57 (around 22%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.8, roughly 26% implied, with our figures flagging a modest 9.85% edge on that outcome.
03
Wisła Płock at 4.57 carry a fair probability of 28% in our model, producing the largest result-market edge at 27.37%.
04
The recommended play is Under 3.0 goals at 1.88, with a 53% implied confidence and a value edge of just over 20%.
Team form
WP Wisła Płock LWWDL
9 Oct 26 @ Wieczysta Kraków 0-3
20 Sept 26 @ Zagłębie Lubin 2-0
13 Sept 26 vs Cracovia Kraków 3-1
7 Sept 26 @ Pogoń Szczecin 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ GKS Katowice 0-5
LP Lech Poznań WWLWW
10 Oct 26 @ Śląsk Wrocław 4-1
20 Sept 26 vs Radomiak Radom 5-1
12 Sept 26 @ Górnik Zabrze 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Raków Częstochowa 1-0
3 Sept 26 vs Jagiellonia Białystok 2-1
Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań: pre-match preview
Lech Poznań visit Wisła Płock in the Ekstraklasa as the clear market favourite, priced at 1.8 with 888sport. That price implies roughly a 56% chance of a Lech win once you convert it to probability, marking them as the side the market trusts most in this fixture. The draw sits at 3.8 (around 26% implied), while a home win for Wisła Płock is a longer shot at 4.57 with Pinnacle, or about 22% in implied terms. Our model, however, focuses away from the outright result and toward the total: it recommends Under 3.0 goals at 1.88 with Pinnacle, citing a market-implied confidence of about 53% and a value edge of just over 20%. In short, the market leans toward Lech, but the standout value our figures highlight lies in a lower-scoring, tighter game than the odds might suggest at first glance.
Verdict: The pick is Under 3.0 goals at 1.88, supported by a stated 20.29% edge and around 53% confidence. It sidesteps the Lech favouritism in favour of a lower-scoring game. It remains a probability-based lean, not a certainty, so stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 16 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsEkstraklasa
2.20 0.00u V 15 Aug 26
Under 3.0 goalsVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
1.78 0.00u Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 16:00 | Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa | 2.20 | 4.04 | 3.04 |
| 16 Oct 18:30 | Widzew Łódź v Wisła Kraków | 2.35 | 3.75 | 2.91 |
| 17 Oct 12:45 | Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław | 1.97 | 4.00 | 3.65 |
| 17 Oct 15:30 | GKS Katowice v Pogoń Szczecin | 2.04 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| 17 Oct 18:15 | Cracovia Kraków v Legia Warszawa | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| 18 Oct 10:15 | Górnik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice | 1.67 | 4.03 | 5.00 |
| 18 Oct 12:45 | Zagłębie Lubin v Jagiellonia Białystok | 2.82 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| 18 Oct 15:30 | Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce | 1.51 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań?+
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.88.
Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań?+
Lech Poznań are favourites at 1.8 with 888sport, which implies about a 56% chance. Wisła Płock are outsiders at 4.57 and the draw is 3.8.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.8 with 888sport, implying roughly 26%. Our model assigns it a fair probability of 29% and a smaller edge of 9.85%.
Where is the value in this match?+
Our model's main recommendation is Under 3.0 goals at 1.88 with a 20.29% edge. Among result markets, Wisła Płock at 4.57 shows the largest edge at 27.37%, though it remains the underdog.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).