2. Bundesliga · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Hannover 96 are priced at 2.15, implying roughly a 46 percent chance of victory, the shortest price of the three outcomes
FC St. Pauli's 3.2 price implies about 31 percent, making them clear underdogs on paper but not drastically so
The draw at 3.85 implies close to 26 percent, keeping all three outcomes within a plausible range for a competitive fixture
The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.72 carries a 55 percent model confidence against an implied 58 percent from the odds, producing a slight negative value edge of -5.45 percent
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli to win | 3.20 | +3.9% | 32% | 60 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Bookmaker | 1 · H9 | X | 2 · FSP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15 | 3.81 | 3.10 |
| Coolbet | 2.12 | 3.85 | 3.10 |
| Tipico | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Hannover 96 host FC St. Pauli in a 2. Bundesliga clash where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them an overwhelming favourite. Hannover's price of 2.15 implies a win probability of roughly 46 percent, while St. Pauli's 3.2 corresponds to about 31 percent, and the draw at 3.85 sits near 26 percent. Those numbers point to a competitive match rather than a lopsided one, with the bookmakers' combined margin suggesting a reasonably open contest. Rather than picking a side in the result market, our model's standout angle here is the goals total, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.72. That price implies a bookmaker-side probability of around 58 percent for fewer than four goals, slightly above the model's own 55 percent confidence read, which is reflected in the modest negative value edge attached to the pick. No side of the 1X2 market currently clears our value threshold.
Verdict: The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.72 is a measured pick rather than a strong value play, with the model's own confidence running a touch below what the price implies. It reflects an expectation of a relatively contained scoreline rather than a high-confidence edge, so stakes should be sized conservatively.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 16:30 | Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin | 3.05 | 4.10 | 2.34 |
| 16 Oct 16:30 | FC Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg | 3.29 | 4.20 | 2.05 |
| 17 Oct 11:00 | VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.76 | 4.40 | 4.79 |
| 17 Oct 11:00 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum | 2.30 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| 17 Oct 11:00 | Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.18 | 3.95 | 3.20 |
| 18 Oct 11:30 | Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| 18 Oct 11:30 | Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.25 | 4.00 | 3.05 |
| 18 Oct 11:30 | Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.56 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.25, with a 42% confidence rating.
Hannover 96 are favoured at 2.15, which implies about a 46 percent win probability, compared with roughly 31 percent for FC St. Pauli at 3.2.
The draw is available at 3.85, implying an approximate 26 percent probability, the least likely of the three match-result outcomes according to the market.
No match-result selection currently clears the value threshold; the model's featured pick is Under 3.5 goals at 1.72, though it carries a slight negative value edge of -5.45 percent rather than a clear edge.
Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli takes place Sat · 18:30 in the 2. Bundesliga.
English