English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Raków Częstochowa to win
Odds
2.72
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
38%Pre-match conf.
-2.16%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Raków Częstochowa are marginal favourites at 2.58 (about 39% implied), narrowly ahead of Cracovia Kraków at 2.85 (about 35%).
02
The tight price gap points to a closely matched contest with no strong market lean either way.
03
The draw is priced at 3.4, implying roughly a 29% probability of a stalemate.
04
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 shows a negative value edge of -5.26%, so the price is slightly shorter than our fair estimate.
Team form
CK Cracovia Kraków WLLLW
10 Oct 26 vs Zagłębie Lubin 3-1
19 Sept 26 @ GKS Katowice 2-3
13 Sept 26 @ Wisła Płock 1-3
6 Sept 26 vs Górnik Zabrze 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 3-2
RC Raków Częstochowa LLLWL
9 Oct 26 vs GKS Katowice 1-4
19 Sept 26 @ Korona Kielce 2-3
15 Sept 26 vs Zagłębie Lubin 2-3
11 Sept 26 vs Motor Lublin 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Lech Poznań 0-1
Head-to-head: Cracovia Kraków v Raków Częstochowa
W 16 Aug 26
Cracovia Kraków 2-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
W/D/L shown from Cracovia Kraków's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cracovia Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: pre-match preview
This Ekstraklasa clash pits Cracovia Kraków against Raków Częstochowa in a match the bookmakers see as tightly balanced. The market marginally favours the visitors, with Raków priced at 2.58 (around 39% implied probability) versus Cracovia at 2.85 (roughly 35%). That is a narrow gap, suggesting oddsmakers view this as close to a coin flip between the two sides. The draw sits at 3.4, implying about a 29% chance of honours ending even, which is fairly typical for a game with no clear favourite. Rather than picking a winner, our model leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 with Nordic Bet. That price carries a market-implied confidence near 46%, though it currently shows a negative value edge of around -5.26%, meaning the odds sit slightly below what our model considers fair value.
Verdict: The recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at 2.08, backed by a market-implied confidence around 46%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.26%, meaning the odds are marginally below fair value. Treat this as a modest-confidence pick and stake responsibly rather than chasing.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 16:00 | Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa | 2.20 | 4.04 | 3.04 |
| 16 Oct 18:30 | Widzew Łódź v Wisła Kraków | 2.35 | 3.75 | 2.91 |
| 17 Oct 12:45 | Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław | 1.97 | 4.00 | 3.65 |
| 17 Oct 15:30 | GKS Katowice v Pogoń Szczecin | 2.04 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| 17 Oct 18:15 | Cracovia Kraków v Legia Warszawa | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| 18 Oct 10:15 | Górnik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice | 1.67 | 4.03 | 5.00 |
| 18 Oct 12:45 | Zagłębie Lubin v Jagiellonia Białystok | 2.82 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| 18 Oct 15:30 | Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce | 1.51 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cracovia Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?+
Our tip was Raków Częstochowa to win at odds of 2.72.
Who is the favourite for Cracovia Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?+
Raków Częstochowa are slight favourites at 2.58 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Cracovia Kraków at 2.85 (about 35%). The gap is narrow, so the market sees this as a close match.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is available at 3.4, which implies roughly a 29% chance of the game ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model's recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 currently shows a negative value edge of -5.26%, and no value picks cleared our threshold, so there is no clear edge based on the data provided.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).