English ⚽ La Liga 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Atlético Madrid to win
Odds
2.53
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
41%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Atlético Madrid are the market favourites at 2.53, implying about a 40% chance, ahead of Sevilla at 3.3 (around 30%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.5, roughly a 29% implied probability, keeping all three outcomes reasonably close.
03
Our model rates Atlético's fair probability at 41%, marginally above the market-implied figure, giving a value edge of about 4.1%.
04
The relatively narrow price gap between the sides points to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided favourite.
Team form
SEV Sevilla DLWWD
12 Oct 26 @ Levante 3-3
19 Sept 26 vs Barça 1-3
16 Sept 26 @ Deportivo 1-0
11 Sept 26 vs Valencia 1-0
6 Sept 26 @ Espanyol 1-1
AM Atlético Madrid WWWWL
10 Oct 26 @ Alavés 2-1
20 Sept 26 vs Real Madrid 2-1
16 Sept 26 vs Osasuna 4-0
13 Sept 26 @ Real Sociedad 3-0
5 Sept 26 @ Athletic 0-3
Head-to-head: Sevilla v Atlético Madrid
Full H2H history → L 29 Aug 26
Sevilla FC 1-3 AtletiLa Liga
W 11 Apr 26
Sevilla FC 2-1 AtletiLa Liga
L 1 Nov 25
Atleti 3-0 Sevilla FCLa Liga
W/D/L shown from Sevilla's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: pre-match preview
This La Liga clash sends Atlético Madrid to face Sevilla, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. Atlético are priced at 2.53 with 1xBet, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 40%, while Sevilla sit further out at 3.3 (Tipico), around 30% in probability terms. The draw is quoted at 3.5 (1xBet), close to a 29% chance. That spread makes Atlético modest favourites rather than dominant ones, with the outcome far from settled on paper. Our model recommends backing Atlético Madrid to win at 2.53, assigning a fair probability of about 41% and identifying a value edge of roughly 4.1% versus the offered price. In short, the numbers suggest a competitive fixture at Sevilla, with the away side holding a slight edge in the market's eyes and a small pocket of value on their match-result price.
Verdict: The recommended play is Atlético Madrid to win at 2.53, supported by a small 4.1% value edge over the market. With an implied probability near 41%, this is a lean rather than a strong call, so treat it as a moderate-risk pick and stake within your usual limits.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 19:00 | Deportivo La Coruña v Levante | 2.18 | 3.62 | 3.75 |
| 17 Oct 12:00 | Espanyol v Atlético Madrid | 5.10 | 3.98 | 1.85 |
| 17 Oct 14:15 | Villarreal v Elche CF | 1.51 | 5.20 | 6.73 |
| 17 Oct 16:30 | Real Betis v Barcelona | 6.40 | 6.00 | 1.49 |
| 17 Oct 19:00 | Valencia v Athletic Bilbao | 3.65 | 3.51 | 2.28 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | CA Osasuna v Real Racing Club de Santander | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| 18 Oct 14:15 | Celta Vigo v Alavés | 2.22 | 3.48 | 3.78 |
| 18 Oct 16:30 | Málaga v Real Sociedad | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.29 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atleti | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?+
Our tip was Atlético Madrid to win at odds of 2.53.
Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?+
Atlético Madrid are the favourites at 2.53 (1xBet), implying roughly a 40% chance. Sevilla are the outsiders at 3.3 (Tipico), around 30%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.5 with 1xBet, which equates to an implied probability of about 29%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model identifies a small value edge of around 4.1% on Atlético Madrid at 2.53, with a fair probability estimate of 41%. It is a modest edge, so manage your stakes accordingly.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).