Ligue 1 · Sun · 15:15 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Paris FC are priced at 2.44 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 41% win probability, making them favourites without a dominant market lean.
Rennes at 3.15 imply about a 32% chance, keeping them firmly competitive on paper according to the odds.
The draw is priced at 3.6 by 888sport, an implied 28%, reflecting a fixture the market sees as genuinely open.
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.95 shows 49% implied confidence but carries a -4.28% value edge versus market consensus, meaning it is not flagged as clearly mispriced.
| Bookmaker | 1 · PF | X | 2 · REN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.45 | 3.29 |
| Betfair | 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Coolbet | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.26 | 3.38 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Ligue 1 action pairs Paris FC and Rennes with the odds boards pointing to a moderate home edge rather than a one-sided affair. Paris FC head into this meeting as favourites at 2.44 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 41%. Rennes sit at 3.15 with the same bookmaker, implying around 32%, while 888sport prices the draw at 3.6, or about 28%. Those numbers show a competitive market rather than a clear mismatch, with only a few points separating the favourite from an open result. Away from the match-result market, our model highlights Over 3.0 goals at 1.95 with Pinnacle as its recommended angle, carrying a market-implied confidence of 49%. No standout value picks emerged elsewhere in the match-result market, so this goals-based line is the focal point of the preview.
Verdict: The Over 3.0 goals selection at 1.95 offers a near-coin-flip implied probability of 49%, but its -4.28% edge suggests the price is fairly efficient rather than offering a genuine market advantage. It is a reasonable point of interest for goals-focused bettors, though not a standout value play, so modest staking and caution are advised.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 18:45 | Le Mans FC v Toulouse | 3.20 | 3.65 | 2.41 |
| 17 Oct 15:15 | Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain | 7.00 | 5.75 | 1.46 |
| 17 Oct 18:45 | Lille v Brest | 1.88 | 4.04 | 4.40 |
| 17 Oct 18:45 | Troyes v RC Lens | 4.30 | 4.20 | 1.87 |
| 18 Oct 13:00 | Angers v Marseille | 3.40 | 3.85 | 2.20 |
| 18 Oct 15:15 | Le Havre v Auxerre | 2.52 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| 18 Oct 15:15 | Lorient v AS Monaco | 3.95 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| 18 Oct 18:45 | Lyon v Nice | 1.71 | 4.26 | 5.25 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Stade Rennais | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | RC Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Under 2.75 goals at odds of 2.03, with a 48% confidence rating.
Paris FC are favourites at 2.44 with 1xBet, implying about a 41% win probability, compared with Rennes at 3.15 (around 32%).
888sport offers the draw at 3.6, which implies roughly a 28% chance of the match ending level.
No match-result value picks cleared the threshold in the data provided. The model's featured angle is Over 3.0 goals at 1.95 with Pinnacle, though it carries a -4.28% edge, indicating no clear pricing advantage despite a 49% implied confidence level.
Paris FC vs Rennes takes place Sun · 15:15 in the Ligue 1.
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