Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Djurgardens IF are the narrow favourites at 2.43 (about 41% implied), just ahead of Malmo FF at 2.62 (about 38%).
The gap between the two match-result prices is small, reflecting a market that sees little to separate the sides.
The draw is priced at 3.66, or roughly 27% implied probability, a typical figure for an evenly-matched fixture.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 shows a negative value edge of -5.12%, meaning it does not clear our value threshold.
Team form
Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF: pre-match preview
This Allsvenskan meeting between Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF is priced as a genuinely tight affair, with the away side edging favouritism. Djurgardens IF are available at 2.43 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 41%, while Malmo FF sit at 2.62 with Nordic Bet, or about 38%. The draw is offered at 3.66, worth around 27% in implied terms. Those numbers describe a contest the bookmakers see as close to a coin flip, with only a slim margin separating the two teams. Rather than picking a side, our model leans toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 with Nordic Bet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 59%. It is worth noting the value edge here reads at -5.12%, so this sits below our value threshold and should be treated as a lean rather than a standout price in this fixture.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.62, backed by around 59% implied confidence. Honestly, the -5.12% edge means this is below our value threshold, so it is a modest lean rather than a strong recommendation. Stake responsibly and keep expectations measured given the tight pricing.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Allsvenskan fixtures
All Allsvenskan tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 17:00 | IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgardens IF | 6.75 | 4.80 | 1.51 |
| 17 Oct 15:30 | AIK v IFK Goteborg | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.57 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | IK Sirius v IF Elfsborg | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 18 Oct 12:00 | Västerås SK v Mjällby AIF | 2.38 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| 18 Oct 14:30 | Halmstads BK v Hammarby IF | 11.60 | 6.67 | 1.26 |
| 18 Oct 14:30 | Örgryte IS v GAIS | 5.60 | 4.30 | 1.71 |
| 18 Oct 14:30 | Malmo FF v BK Hacken | 2.70 | 3.85 | 2.68 |
| 19 Oct 17:00 | Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.64 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Djurgardens IF to win at odds of 2.66.
Djurgardens IF are the slight favourites at 2.43, implying roughly 41%, just ahead of Malmo FF at 2.62 (about 38%). The margin is small.
The draw is priced at 3.66 with 1xBet, which equates to a market-implied probability of around 27%.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 actually carries a negative edge of -5.12%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).