Our prediction
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 38%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.5% | 6.06 |
| 0-0 | 13.4% | 7.45 |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | 7.78 |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | 9.54 |
| 2-0 | 10.1% | 9.88 |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | 12.67 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.23 and 0.78. These six scorelines cover 71% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · TK | X | 2 · KOC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.52 | 3.69 |
| Coolbet | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| GTbets | 2.02 | 3.39 | 3.71 |
| Tipico | 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02 | 3.38 | 3.55 |
| Betsson | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.46 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Torku Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor: match preview
This Süper Lig meeting sees Torku Konyaspor host Kocaelispor, and the market leaves little doubt about who is favoured. Konyaspor are priced at 2.1, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 48%, while Kocaelispor sit out at 3.71, around 27% in the same terms. The draw is quoted at 3.65, or about 27% implied. That spread frames the home side as clear favourites without making this a foregone conclusion, since more than half the priced outcomes fall to the visitors or a stalemate. Rather than picking a side, our model's attention turns to the goals market. It flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.82 with a market-implied confidence of 59% and a value edge of 7.49%, suggesting the total is the more attractive angle here. As always with a single match, treat this as one view among many and stake within your means.
Verdict:
Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
| 31 Aug 13:00 | Besiktas JK v Çorum FK | 1.35 | 5.20 | 9.03 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.82, with a 59% confidence rating.
Torku Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor takes place Sat · 16:00 in the Süper Lig.