Settlement calculator
—
Reading Asian lines like the market does
An Asian handicap is the market's estimate of the true gap between two teams, priced to roughly even money on both sides. That makes the line itself information: a team quoted at -1.25 is being called about a 1.2-goal favourite, whatever the 1X2 prices suggest. When our model's expected-goals gap disagrees with the line by a meaningful margin, that disagreement is exactly the kind of signal the screener surfaces.
Quarter lines exist to fill the gaps between whole and half numbers, and the mechanics are always the same: half the stake on each neighbour. Once you have watched the calculator settle a -0.75 on a one-goal win — half won, half pushed — the notation stops being mysterious and starts being useful. The glossary entry covers the full ladder with worked examples.
Asian handicap FAQ
The stake splits in half across the two neighbouring lines: -0.75 is half on -0.5 and half on -1.0. Win by exactly one goal and the -0.5 half wins while the -1.0 half pushes — a half-win. The calculator shows the split explicitly.
The handicap-adjusted result is an exact tie — for example a -1.0 line and a one-goal win. The stake is returned in full: no profit, no loss. Only whole-number lines can push.
It removes the draw as a separate outcome and lets you price the gap between the teams rather than just the winner. Margins on main AH lines at sharp books are among the lowest in football, which is why the line itself is such a good probability signal.
Nothing in settlement — a -0.5 handicap wins exactly when the team wins. The differences appear on whole and quarter lines, where pushes and half-results soften the all-or-nothing 1X2 payoff.