Süper Lig · Mon · 13:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Besiktas JK are heavy favourites at 1.35, an implied probability of about 74%, showing strong market confidence in a home win.
Çorum FK are long shots at 9.5 (around 11% implied), with the draw priced at 5.25 (roughly 19%).
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 carries a market-implied confidence near 55%, consistent with an open game.
The value edge on the Over is negative at about -4.74%, meaning the price offers no clear edge versus the model.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · BJ | X | 2 · ÇF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 4.98 | 8.57 |
| Tipico | 1.32 | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| Betsson | 1.33 | 4.58 | 9.03 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Besiktas JK head into this Süper Lig meeting with Çorum FK as clear favourites, and the market leaves little doubt about it. At 1.35, Besiktas are priced with an implied probability of roughly 74%, marking them as the side the bookmakers strongly expect to prevail on home soil. Çorum FK, by contrast, sit at 9.5, translating to only about an 11% chance, while the draw is offered at 5.25, or around 19%. Those numbers underline the gap in expectation between the two teams. Rather than backing the lopsided match result, our model looks to the goals market, pointing toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 with Betsson. That reflects a scenario where a dominant favourite could contribute to an open, goal-filled contest. It is worth noting our value calculation flags a negative edge here, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.73, fitting a fixture where a strong favourite could drive plenty of chances. Be aware the model shows a negative value edge of around -4.74%, so this is a modest-confidence pick rather than a priced advantage. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73, with a 55% confidence rating.
Besiktas JK are clear favourites at 1.35, which implies about a 74% chance of winning. Çorum FK are outsiders at 9.5, or roughly 11%.
The draw is priced at 5.25 with Coolbet, implying approximately a 19% probability.
No value pick cleared our threshold here. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 actually shows a negative edge of about -4.74%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
Besiktas JK vs Çorum FK takes place Mon · 13:00 in the Süper Lig.
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