Süper Lig · Today · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Kocaelispor are the favourites at 2.15 (about 47% implied), while Amed SK drift to 3.62 (roughly 28%).
The draw is priced at 3.45, implying near 29%, close to the underdog's chance and signalling a potentially tight match.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 carries a market-implied confidence of around 45%, essentially a coin-flip proposition.
The value edge on the goals pick is negative at -3.13%, so the market offers no clear pricing advantage.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · KOC | X | 2 · AS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.46 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.20 | 3.31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.29 | 3.26 | 3.38 |
| Coolbet | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Kocaelispor host Amed SK in this Süper Lig fixture, and the market clearly leans toward the home side. Kocaelispor are priced at 2.15 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 47%. Amed SK sit as underdogs at 3.62 with 1xBet, implying around 28%, while the draw is offered at 3.45, or about 29% in probability terms. That spread points to a favourite that is respected but far from dominant, leaving plenty of scope for a competitive contest. Our model does not focus on the match result here; instead it flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 45%. Notably, that pick shows a negative value edge of -3.13%, meaning the price offers no clear advantage over the market. Treat it as a lean rather than a standout opportunity, and keep stakes measured given the uncertainty involved.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.14, but with a negative value edge of -3.13% and roughly 45% implied confidence, this is a modest call rather than a strong one. Approach it cautiously, size stakes sensibly, and remember outcomes are never certain.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
| 31 Aug 13:00 | Besiktas JK v Çorum FK | 1.35 | 5.20 | 9.03 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.34, with a 43% confidence rating.
Kocaelispor are the favourites at 2.15 with Coolbet, an implied probability of about 47%. Amed SK are the underdogs at 3.62, around 28%.
The draw is priced at 3.45 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 29% chance. That is close to the underdog's implied probability, suggesting a competitive game.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 shows a negative value edge of -3.13%, meaning the price does not beat the market. No selection cleared our value threshold for this fixture.
Kocaelispor vs Amed SK takes place Today · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
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