Süper Lig · Sun · 16:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Alanyaspor are favourites at 2.4, an implied probability of roughly 42%, ahead of Eyüpspor's 3.31 (about 30%).
The draw is priced at 3.65, close to 27% implied, and our model flags it as a value spot with an edge near 5.78%.
The headline pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.9, with market-implied confidence around 55% and a value edge of about 5.16%.
Eyüpspor also show a smaller value edge of roughly 3.53% at 3.31, giving underdog backers something to consider.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.52 |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | 8.46 |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | 8.68 |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | 9.77 |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | 13.04 |
| 1-2 | 7.5% | 13.37 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.15 and 1.13. These six scorelines cover 62% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · EYÜ | X | 2 · ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.35 | 2.34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23 | 3.29 | 2.29 |
| Coolbet | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| GTbets | 3.19 | 3.24 | 2.28 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This Süper Lig meeting sees Alanyaspor travel to face Eyüpspor as the market's clear pick to take the points. Alanyaspor's best price of 2.4 translates to an implied probability of around 42%, while Eyüpspor at 3.31 sits closer to 30% and the draw at 3.65 works out near 27%. In short, the bookmakers lean toward the visitors without treating the outcome as a foregone conclusion. Our model, however, is less interested in the winner and more drawn to the goals market: the recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.9, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 55% and a value edge of roughly 5.16%. That points to expectations of a tighter, lower-scoring contest rather than a high-tempo shootout. There are also flickers of value on the draw (edge near 5.78%) and on Eyüpspor (edge around 3.53%) for those prioritising the match-result market over totals.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.9, backed by a modest value edge and about 55% implied confidence. It suggests a cagey, lower-scoring game rather than an open one. This is a reasonable-value play but far from certain, so stake responsibly and within your limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
| 31 Aug 13:00 | Besiktas JK v Çorum FK | 1.35 | 5.20 | 9.03 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 54% confidence rating.
Alanyaspor are the favourites at a best price of 2.4, which implies roughly a 42% chance. Eyüpspor are priced at 3.31, around 30% implied.
The draw is available at 3.65 with Nordic Bet, an implied probability of about 27%. Our model rates it as a value option with an edge of around 5.78%.
Our model highlights Under 2.5 goals at 1.9 as the main value pick, with a roughly 5.16% edge. It also notes smaller edges on the draw (about 5.78%) and Eyüpspor (about 3.53%), though all bets carry risk.
Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor takes place Sun · 16:00 in the Süper Lig.
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