Süper Lig · Fri · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Genclerbirligi SK are clear favourites at 2.19, implying about a 46% win chance versus roughly 27% for Erzurum BB at 3.73.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, close to a 28% implied probability, suggesting a reasonably balanced contest.
Our recommended Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.03 carries a market-implied confidence near 48% but a negative value edge of -2.94%.
The standout value signal is Erzurum BB, whose 3.73 price against a fair probability of 28% produces a positive edge of 3.73%.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · GS | X | 2 · EB |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.54 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.42 | 3.60 |
| Coolbet | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| GTbets | 2.19 | 3.59 | 3.08 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.44 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Genclerbirligi SK host Erzurum BB in this Süper Lig fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. The home price of 2.19 with GTbets implies roughly a 46% chance of a Genclerbirligi win, while Erzurum BB are out at 3.73 with Pinnacle, translating to around 27% in probability terms. The draw sits at 3.6 with Coolbet, close to a 28% implied likelihood, underlining a match the bookmakers see as competitive rather than one-sided. Our model, however, steers away from the result market and toward the goals line: Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.03 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 48%. Notably, that pick shows a negative value edge of -2.94%, so it is flagged more as a lean than a strong price. Where genuine value appears is on Erzurum BB at 3.73, with a small positive edge.
Verdict: The model's lean is Under 2.5 goals at 2.03, roughly a coin-flip proposition by implied confidence. With a negative value edge, treat it as a modest angle rather than a strong bet. The only positive-edge signal here is Erzurum BB at 3.73. Stake responsibly and keep exposure measured.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
| 31 Aug 13:00 | Besiktas JK v Çorum FK | 1.35 | 5.20 | 9.03 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.01, with a 48% confidence rating.
Genclerbirligi SK are the favourites at 2.19, implying about a 46% chance. Erzurum BB are the outsiders at 3.73, roughly a 27% implied probability.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 28%.
Erzurum BB at 3.73 shows a small positive value edge of 3.73% against a fair probability of 28%. The model's Under 2.5 goals lean at 2.03 actually carries a negative edge of -2.94%.
Genclerbirligi SK vs Erzurum BB takes place Fri · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
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