Süper Lig · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
The home price of 2.58 versus 2.73 for the visitors is a small gap, implying a near-even contest with Gaziantep only marginally favoured.
Implied probabilities sit around 39% for Gaziantep, 37% for Çaykur Rizespor and 27% for the draw.
The draw at 3.75 is priced in line with a balanced fixture, reflecting genuine uncertainty over the result.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.8 shows a slightly negative value edge of -3.08%, so it is a modest lean rather than a market-beating price.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.3% | 8.82 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 11.67 |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | 12.17 |
| 1-0 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
| 0-1 | 7.5% | 13.33 |
| 2-2 | 6.2% | 16.10 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.51 and 1.45. These six scorelines cover 50% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · GG | X | 2 · ÇR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| Betfair | 2.54 | 3.55 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.55 | 2.67 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55 | 3.51 | 2.68 |
| Coolbet | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Tipico | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.65 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
This Süper Lig meeting between Gazişehir Gaziantep and Çaykur Rizespor is priced as one of the tighter fixtures on the board. At 2.58, the home side is a narrow favourite, translating to roughly a 39% implied chance, while Çaykur Rizespor at 2.73 sits close behind at about 37%. The gap of just 0.15 in the odds tells you the market sees little separating these teams on paper. A draw is available at 3.75, or around 27% implied, which is fairly standard for an evenly matched contest. Rather than backing a side outright, our model leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.8 with Nordic Bet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 54%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -3.08%, so this is a lean rather than a strong value call.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.8, with market-implied confidence around 54%. This is a moderate-risk lean rather than a value edge, since the price sits slightly negative at -3.08%. Treat it as a preference on a close fixture and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
| 31 Aug 13:00 | Besiktas JK v Çorum FK | 1.35 | 5.20 | 9.03 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.79, with a 54% confidence rating.
Gazişehir Gaziantep is the narrow favourite at 2.58, compared with 2.73 for Çaykur Rizespor. The small gap suggests the market views this as a close match.
The draw is available at 3.75 with Nordic Bet, which implies roughly a 27% chance and reflects an evenly matched fixture.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.8 actually carries a slightly negative edge of -3.08%, making it a lean rather than a value bet.
Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Çaykur Rizespor takes place Sat · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français 
Kiswahili 
Hausa 
አማርኛ