Premier League ยท Sat ยท 14:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Coventry City are favourites at 2.02, implying about 50% win probability against Hull City's 24% at 4.22.
The draw is priced at 3.8, roughly a 26% implied chance, keeping all three outcomes reasonably live.
Our model rates Hull City's fair win probability at 25%, giving a positive value edge of 3.98% at the 4.22 price.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.14 carries about 46% implied confidence but a slightly negative edge of -1.36%.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City to win | 4.70 | +6.3% | 23% | 58 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท CC | X | 2 ยท HC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.90 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.57 | 4.62 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91 | 3.80 | 4.25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91 | 3.80 | 4.25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90 | 3.52 | 4.55 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Coventry City host Hull City in this Premier League fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. Coventry are priced at 2.02, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 50%, while Hull City sit out at 4.22, or about 24% in the market's eyes. The draw is quoted at 3.8, implying around 26%. That spread makes Coventry moderate favourites rather than overwhelming ones, with a genuine chance for Hull to upset the odds on their day. Our model's recommended play sits away from the match result: Under 2.5 goals at 2.14, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 46%. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick is slightly negative at -1.36%, so it is a lean rather than a standout price. The more interesting value flag, according to our numbers, is on Hull City at 4.22.
Verdict: The model's lean is Under 2.5 goals at 2.14, reflecting an expectation of a tighter, lower-scoring game. With a marginally negative value edge, treat it as a modest-confidence angle rather than a strong price. Hull City at 4.22 is flagged as the better value bet. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 19:00 | Fulham v Chelsea | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 5.60 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 1.54 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Bournemouth v Everton | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | 2.32 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Leeds United v Brentford | 2.63 | 3.52 | 2.90 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.05 | 3.95 | 3.75 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Sunderland v Fulham | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.98 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton Hove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.89, with a 53% confidence rating.
Coventry City are the favourites at 2.02, which implies roughly a 50% chance. Hull City are the outsiders at 4.22, around 24%.
The draw is best priced at 3.8 with Unibet (NL), implying about a 26% probability.
Our model flags Hull City at 4.22 as the standout value, with a fair probability of 25% and a positive edge of 3.98%. The recommended Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.14 has a slightly negative edge of -1.36%.
Coventry City vs Hull City takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the Premier League.
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