Championship · Sat · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Bristol City are priced as favourites at 2.32, implying roughly a 43% win chance, ahead of Sheffield United's 32% at 3.1.
The draw at 3.55 carries an implied probability of about 28%, keeping all three outcomes within a fairly narrow range.
The combined overround across the three prices sits close to 104%, typical bookmaker margin rather than a sign of unusual market disagreement.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.78 carries a market-implied confidence of 52%, but the stated value edge is negative at -7.17%, meaning the price does not currently represent a clear value advantage versus the model's own assessment.
| Bookmaker | 1 · BC | X | 2 · SU |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.16 | 3.61 | 3.14 |
| GTbets | 2.13 | 3.49 | 3.30 |
| Betsson | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.19 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Bristol City host Sheffield United in a Championship fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them an overwhelming favourite. Best-priced odds have Bristol City at 2.32, Sheffield United out at 3.1, and the draw at 3.55 with LeoVegas (SE). Converting those prices gives Bristol City an implied win probability of roughly 43%, Sheffield United around 32%, and the draw near 28%, figures that point to a competitive match rather than a one-sided affair. With no outright value picks clearing our threshold on the result market, attention shifts to the goals market, where the model's recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 with Unibet (SE), reflecting a market-implied confidence of 52% for that outcome.
Verdict: Bristol City are modest favourites in a fairly tight three-way market, with the draw priced closely behind Sheffield United. The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.78 is the standout recommendation, though its negative value edge suggests the odds are not generously priced relative to the model's own estimate, so this should be treated as a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong-value play. Stake with discipline and within your bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 18:45 | Norwich City v Southampton | 2.56 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| 14 Oct 18:45 | Portsmouth v Sheffield United | 2.33 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| 14 Oct 18:45 | Queens Park Rangers v Derby County | 1.75 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| 14 Oct 19:00 | Lincoln City v West Ham United | 5.30 | 4.34 | 1.72 |
| 16 Oct 19:00 | Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.46 |
| 17 Oct 11:30 | Middlesbrough v Cardiff City | 1.60 | 5.00 | 6.10 |
| 17 Oct 11:30 | Watford v Charlton Athletic | 2.40 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
| 17 Oct 11:30 | Millwall v Lincoln City | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 | Derby County | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston NE | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.88, with a 51% confidence rating.
Bristol City are the market favourites at 2.32 with LeoVegas (SE), implying roughly a 43% chance of victory, compared with Sheffield United's 32% implied chance at 3.1.
The draw is priced at 3.55 with LeoVegas (SE), which implies an approximate 28% probability, keeping the match outcome fairly open between all three results.
No outright value picks on the match result cleared the site's threshold. The recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, though this carries a negative value edge of -7.17% according to the model, so it is not a standout value bet by that measure.
Bristol City vs Sheffield United takes place Sat · 14:00 in the Championship.
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