Süper Lig · Sat · 13:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Amed SK are priced at 2.12, implying roughly 47% win probability and clear favourite status over Torku Konyaspor.
Torku Konyaspor's best odds of 3.36 put their implied chance at about 30%, with the draw close behind at 3.95 (around 25%).
Combined match-odds probabilities total roughly 102.3%, indicating a relatively tight, low-margin market for this fixture.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.79 carries a model confidence of 53% against a market-implied 56%, yielding a slight negative value edge of -4.44%.
| Bookmaker | 1 · AS | X | 2 · TK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.88 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.97 |
| Coolbet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.64 | 3.84 |
| Betfair | 1.93 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| GTbets | 1.86 | 3.51 | 4.13 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Süper Lig action brings together Amed SK and Torku Konyaspor, with the betting market clearly leaning toward the hosts. Amed SK's best price of 2.12 implies a win probability of around 47%, making them the favourites on paper, while Torku Konyaspor's 3.36 translates to roughly 30%, and the draw at 3.95 sits near 25%. Add these figures together and the market carries a modest overround of about 2.3%, suggesting a reasonably efficient book rather than a lopsided one. Away from the result market, our model points to the Over 2.5 goals line at 1.79, which implies a break-even probability near 56% against a model confidence of 53%. That gap produces a slight negative value edge of -4.44%, so this is presented as a measured selection rather than a standout opportunity. No additional value picks cleared our threshold elsewhere in the match-odds market for this Süper Lig fixture.
Verdict: The suggested angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.79, reflecting a 53% model confidence that falls slightly below the market's implied probability, resulting in a small negative edge. It is a reasonable but not compelling selection, so bettors should treat it as moderate-risk and size stakes accordingly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 17:00 | Çorum FK v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.08 | 3.85 | 3.50 |
| 17 Oct 10:30 | Erzurum BB v Eyüpspor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| 17 Oct 13:00 | Genclerbirligi SK v Galatasaray | 7.80 | 5.30 | 1.43 |
| 17 Oct 16:00 | Fenerbahce v Alanyaspor | 1.34 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| 18 Oct 10:30 | Kasimpasa SK v Samsunspor | 2.65 | 3.55 | 2.80 |
| 18 Oct 13:00 | Kocaelispor v Goztepe | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.65 |
| 18 Oct 16:00 | Basaksehir v Gazişehir Gaziantep | 1.77 | 4.27 | 4.70 |
| 19 Oct 17:00 | Trabzonspor v Besiktas JK | 3.02 | 4.00 | 2.29 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.94, with a 50% confidence rating.
Amed SK are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.12 which implies roughly a 47% win probability, compared with about 30% for Torku Konyaspor.
The draw is available at 3.95, which implies an approximate 25% probability based on current market odds.
The main market shows no value picks above our threshold, and the recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.79 actually carries a slightly negative edge of -4.44%, so any value here is marginal at best.
Amed SK vs Torku Konyaspor takes place Sat · 13:00 in the Süper Lig.
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