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አማርኛ ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.83
WonResult
0-2Final score
+0.83uProfit
57%Pre-match conf.
+3.98%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vitoria are narrow favourites at 2.7 (about 37% implied), edging Bahia at 2.8 (about 36%) by only a hair.
02
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly 29%, a realistic outcome given how close the two win prices are.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 shows a 3.8% value edge with around 57% market-implied confidence.
04
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold, so the goals market is where the edge sits.
Team form
VIT Vitoria LWLLL
23 Aug 26 vs Bahia 0-2
16 Aug 26 vs Botafogo 1-0
9 Aug 26 @ Flamengo 0-2
30 Jul 26 vs Palmeiras 0-4
26 Jul 26 @ Clube do Remo 0-2
BAH Bahia WDDDD
23 Aug 26 @ Vitória 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Chapecoense 3-3
9 Aug 26 vs Vasco da Gama 0-0
30 Jul 26 @ Fluminense 0-0
26 Jul 26 vs Corinthians 1-1
Head-to-head: Vitoria v Bahia
Full H2H history → L 23 Aug 26
Vitória 0-2 BahiaBrasileirão
D 11 Mar 26
Bahia 1-1 VitóriaBrasileirão
W 17 Oct 25
Vitória 2-1 BahiaBrasileirão
L 18 May 25
Bahia 2-1 VitóriaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vitoria's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vitoria vs Bahia: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão fixture between Vitoria and Bahia is one the market rates as close to a coin flip. Vitoria are marginal favourites at 2.7, implying roughly a 37% chance of victory, while Bahia sit just behind at 2.8, or about 36%. The draw is priced at 3.4, translating to around 29%. Those numbers point to a genuinely balanced contest, with no side carrying meaningful favouritism heading into kick-off. Rather than backing a match result, our model leans toward the goals market. The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 57% and a modest value edge of 3.8%. That angle suggests the pricing may slightly underrate a lower-scoring outcome. With the win market so tightly bunched, the total-goals line offers a clearer read than trying to separate two evenly matched teams on the result alone.
Verdict: The play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, backed by a modest 3.8% edge and roughly 57% implied confidence. This is a low-to-moderate confidence lean rather than a strong call, so stake sensibly. The result market itself is too tightly priced to favour either side.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.83 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 23:00 | Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense | 2.46 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| 29 Aug 21:30 | Atletico Mineiro v Vitoria | 1.78 | 3.75 | 5.29 |
| 29 Aug 23:00 | Sao Paulo v Bragantino-SP | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.56 |
| 30 Aug 00:20 | Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro | 2.51 | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense | 2.31 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Corinthians v Santos | 1.88 | 3.62 | 4.75 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1.47 | 4.50 | 7.25 |
| 30 Aug 21:30 | Grêmio v Chapecoense | 1.56 | 4.25 | 6.60 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Mineiro | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Vitória | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 | São Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 19 | Vasco da Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vitoria vs Bahia?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83.
Who is the favourite for Vitoria vs Bahia?+
Vitoria are slim favourites at 2.7 (about 37% implied), just ahead of Bahia at 2.8 (about 36%). The gap is small enough that the market sees this as close to even.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% chance. That is a plausible outcome given how balanced the two win prices are.
Is there any value in this match?+
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold. The only flagged value is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, with a 3.8% edge and about 57% implied confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-2 (+0.83u at flat stakes).