Scottish Premiership · Sat · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
St Johnstone are priced as favourites at 2.34, implying roughly 43% win probability, ahead of Dundee United at 2.9 (about 34.5%).
The draw is priced at 3.75 with Coolbet, implying close to 27%, underlining how tightly the three outcomes are bunched.
The recommended Under 2.75 goals bet at 1.96 carries a -4.3% value edge, indicating the market price is not clearly beating the model's own estimate.
No match-result selections cleared the site's value threshold, so there is no flagged edge on the 1X2 market for this game.
| Bookmaker | 1 · SJ | X | 2 · DU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.58 |
| Betfair | 2.58 | 3.50 | 2.54 |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.42 | 2.58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53 | 3.42 | 2.58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54 | 3.45 | 2.54 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
St Johnstone host Dundee United in a Scottish Premiership fixture where the market makes the home side the narrow favourite. Pinnacle's 2.34 on St Johnstone implies a win probability of roughly 43%, while Dundee United's 2.9 price points to about 34.5%, with the draw, best backed at 3.75 with Coolbet, suggesting around 27%. Those numbers describe a tightly contested match rather than a clear mismatch, and the overround across the three prices shows no team is being heavily backed by bookmakers. Away from the match-result market, our model's attention turns to the goals total, flagging Under 2.75 goals at 1.96 with Pinnacle. That selection carries a market-implied confidence of 49% but a value edge of -4.3%, meaning the current price does not comfortably outstrip the model's own assessment of the probability. No separate value picks against market consensus met our threshold for this fixture.
Verdict: The Under 2.75 goals price at 1.96 is the only angle highlighted by the model, but its negative value edge of -4.3% means it should be viewed as a moderate-confidence lean rather than a clear value bet. Stakes should reflect that uncertainty, and bankroll discipline is advised given the tight match-result market.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Hibernian v Falkirk F.C. | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.07 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Aberdeen v St Mirren | 1.89 | 3.75 | 4.18 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Motherwell | 3.32 | 3.85 | 2.07 |
| 17 Oct 19:00 | Dundee FC v Rangers | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.41 |
| 18 Oct 14:00 | Celtic v Hearts | 1.59 | 4.75 | 5.25 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.75 goals at odds of 1.88, with a 51% confidence rating.
St Johnstone are the marginal favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.34 compared with 2.9 for Dundee United, implying win probabilities of about 43% and 34.5% respectively.
The best available draw price is 3.75 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of roughly 27%, keeping the match-result market fairly close between all three outcomes.
No match-result selections met the site's value threshold for this fixture. The model does flag Under 2.75 goals at 1.96, though it carries a negative value edge of -4.3%, so it is not a standout value pick either.
St Johnstone vs Dundee United takes place Sat · 14:00 in the Scottish Premiership.
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