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አማርኛ ⚽ Scottish Premiership 🕒 22 Aug 2026
AI Awaiting settlement — graded automatically once the final score lands
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Motherwell are the market favourites at 2.38, implying about 42% win probability, ahead of Aberdeen at 3.05 (roughly 33%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, around 28% implied probability, so a stalemate is far from ruled out.
03
Our model rates Motherwell's chances near 49%, above the market's implied figure, producing the flagged value edge of about 17.79%.
04
No selections cleared our value threshold beyond the Motherwell recommendation, underlining a closely priced fixture overall.
Team form
MOT Motherwell D
9 Aug 26 vs Falkirk F.C. 0-0
ABE Aberdeen L
8 Aug 26 @ Dundee FC 0-2
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Motherwell vs Aberdeen: pre-match preview
This Scottish Premiership meeting at Motherwell sees the hosts installed as narrow favourites against Aberdeen, though the pricing keeps the outcome genuinely open. Motherwell are the shortest option at 2.38 with William Hill, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 42%. Aberdeen sit at 3.05 (Nordic Bet), implying about 33%, while the draw is priced at 3.6 (Coolbet), around 28% in probability terms. The relatively compact spread between all three prices signals a fixture the market views as competitive rather than one-sided. Our model leans toward Motherwell to win at 2.38, assigning a market-implied confidence of about 49% and flagging a value edge of roughly 17.79% against the odds on offer. That gap between our estimate and the bookmaker price is the basis for the recommendation, though it remains a single-outcome call in a tightly priced match where any of the three results is plausible.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Motherwell to win at 2.38 (William Hill), supported by a model edge of around 17.79% over the market price. It is a moderate-risk pick: the hosts are only narrow favourites, and with the draw and Aberdeen both realistically priced, no outcome is secure. Stake responsibly.
Upcoming Scottish Premiership fixtures
All Scottish Premiership tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v St Johnstone | 1.75 | 3.88 | 4.75 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Celtic v Falkirk F.C. | 1.24 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | 5.00 | 4.12 | 1.72 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v Motherwell | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.86 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Hibernian | 3.15 | 3.57 | 2.25 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Celtic v Aberdeen | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Motherwell v Dundee United | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?+
Our tip was Motherwell to win at odds of 2.38.
Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?+
Motherwell are the favourites at 2.38 with William Hill, implying roughly a 42% chance. Aberdeen are the underdogs at 3.05 (Nordic Bet), around 33%.
What are the odds for a draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies approximately a 28% probability of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model flags value on Motherwell to win at 2.38, estimating around 49% confidence versus the market and a value edge of about 17.79%. No other selection cleared our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The match has not been settled yet — the result is graded automatically once the final score is available.