Scottish Premiership ยท Sat ยท 14:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Hearts are strong favourites at 1.75 (around 57% implied), with St Johnstone a distant outsider at 4.75 (roughly 21%).
The draw is priced at 3.88, implying about 26%, sitting between the two match-result outcomes as expected.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.83 carries an implied confidence near 52%, close to a coin flip.
No value picks cleared our threshold, and the Over 2.5 goals lean actually shows a negative edge of -4.21%.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone to win | 4.75 | +9.3% | 23% | 61 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท HEA | X | 2 ยท SJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.72 | 3.85 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.88 | 4.43 |
| Betsson | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.65 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.75 | 4.42 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Hearts host St Johnstone in this Scottish Premiership fixture with the market leaning firmly towards the home side. Priced at 1.75, Hearts carry an implied probability of around 57%, marking them as clear favourites. St Johnstone sit at the other end at 4.75, which translates to roughly 21% in the eyes of the bookmakers, while the draw is offered at 3.88, or about 26% implied. That price structure reflects a contest the market expects Hearts to control without treating the outcome as a formality. Our model, however, steers away from the match result and towards the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 with an implied confidence of about 52%. It is worth noting that this pick currently shows a negative value edge of -4.21%, so it does not clear our usual value threshold. Approach it as a lean rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, but with a negative value edge of -4.21% and around 52% implied confidence, this is a marginal call rather than a firm recommendation. Treat it as a modest lean and stake responsibly if you take it on.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Celtic v Falkirk F.C. | 1.24 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | 5.00 | 4.12 | 1.72 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v Motherwell | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.86 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Hibernian | 3.15 | 3.57 | 2.25 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Celtic v Aberdeen | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Motherwell v Dundee United | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Dundee FC v St Johnstone | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83, with a 52% confidence rating.
Hearts are the favourites at 1.75, an implied probability of roughly 57%. St Johnstone are the outsiders at 4.75, around 21% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.88 with Pinnacle, which implies about a 26% chance of the points being shared.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 shows a negative edge of -4.21%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
Hearts vs St Johnstone takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the Scottish Premiership.
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