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አማርኛ ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 14 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.67
LostResult
4-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
63%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The price gap is wide: LASK at 1.48 (about 68% implied) dwarfs Ried at 6.26 (about 16%), marking a strong favourite.
02
The draw at 4.4 implies roughly 23%, and our model's fair estimate of 24% produces a small positive edge of about 6.92%.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 sits near 57% implied confidence but shows a negative value edge of around -5.76%.
04
Ried's long price leaves little market expectation of an away result, making them a speculative option at best.
Team form
LAS LASK WW
14 Aug 26 vs Ried 4-1
9 Aug 26 @ Austria Wien 2-0
RIE Ried WLL
21 Aug 26 vs Grazer AK 1-0
14 Aug 26 @ LASK 1-4
9 Aug 26 vs Rapid Wien 1-2
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: LASK v Ried
W 14 Aug 26
LASK 4-1 RiedAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from LASK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
LASK vs Ried: pre-match preview
LASK host Ried in this Austrian Bundesliga fixture as clear favourites according to the bookmakers. At 1.48, the home side is priced at roughly a 68% implied chance, while Ried at 6.26 sits at around 16% and the draw at 4.4 translates to about 23%. Those numbers underline a lopsided market that sees LASK as the dominant force on paper, with Ried very much in the underdog role. Our model's attention, however, turns away from the match result and toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 carries a market-implied confidence near 57%. It's worth noting the value edge on that line is negative (about -5.76%), so it is flagged more as a lean than a strong price. The one spot showing a positive edge is the draw at 4.4, with a fair probability estimate of 24% against the implied 23%.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.66, backed by around 57% model confidence but a negative value edge, so treat it as a modest pick rather than a priced-in bargain. The clearest value flag is the draw at 4.4. Stake responsibly and keep sizing sensible.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 17:30 | Austria Lustenau v WSG Tirol | 2.40 | 3.62 | 2.85 |
| 29 Aug 15:00 | Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC | 3.10 | 3.67 | 2.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:30 | LASK v Rheindorf Altach | 1.43 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz | 2.23 | 3.96 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Hartberg v Ried | 3.00 | 3.54 | 2.40 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | RB Salzburg v Austria Wien | 1.43 | 5.20 | 7.22 |
| 1 Sept 17:30 | Wolfsberger AC v LASK | 4.25 | 3.85 | 1.80 |
| 2 Sept 16:30 | Austria Wien v WSG Tirol | 1.77 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for LASK vs Ried?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.67.
Who is the favourite for LASK vs Ried?+
LASK are firm favourites at 1.48, implying roughly a 68% chance. Ried are long outsiders at 6.26, around 16% implied.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The best available draw price is 4.4 with Coolbet, implying about 23%. Our model's fair estimate of 24% gives it a small positive edge of roughly 6.92%.
Is there any value in this match?+
The draw at 4.4 shows a slight positive edge. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 has decent implied confidence near 57% but a negative value edge of about -5.76%, so it is a lean rather than strong value.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 4-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).