RB Salzburg vs Austria Wien Prediction & Odds

Our prediction

⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 Sun · 17:00

RB Salzburg

Austria Wien

Model lean

Over 3.5 goals

Odds

2.15

ⓘ Model lean, not an official pick — this fixture didn't clear our value threshold, so it isn't counted in the record

ConfidenceValue · 44%

AI Value edge -5.69% · best price at Tipico

Bet at Tipico

Most likely scorelines

Both teams to score: 56%

Score	Model chance	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	9.58
2-1	9.9%	10.10
1-0	9.7%	10.34
2-0	9.2%	10.91
3-1	6.3%	15.97
3-0	5.8%	17.24

From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.90 and 1.08. These six scorelines cover 51% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.

Additional predictions

Market	Odds	Value edge	Confidence	AI score
Draw (X)	5.20	+13.4%	22%	63

Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.

Team form

RS RB Salzburg WD

16 Aug 26 @ WSG Tirol 3-0

9 Aug 26 @ Wolfsberger AC 1-1

AW Austria Wien WL

16 Aug 26 @ Hartberg 2-0

9 Aug 26 vs LASK 0-2

Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.

Best odds across bookmakers

Bookmaker	1 · RS	X	2 · AW
Pinnacle	1.40	4.86	7.22
1xBet	1.41	4.80	6.68
Unibet (SE)	1.40	4.80	6.75
Unibet (NL)	1.40	4.80	6.75
Tipico	1.37	5.20	6.70
Coolbet	1.40	4.75	6.75

Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.

RB Salzburg vs Austria Wien: match preview

RB Salzburg host Austria Wien in the Austrian Bundesliga, and the market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. Salzburg are priced at 1.75 with 1xBet, which converts to roughly a 57% implied probability, marking them as clear favourites on home soil. Austria Wien are the outsiders at 4.5 with Coolbet, around a 22% implied chance, while the draw sits at 3.9 with Tipico, close to 26% in probability terms. The gap between the two sides is sizeable rather than extreme, so an upset is not off the table. Our model points not to the match result but to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 with Tipico, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 55%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge on that selection is negative at -6.05%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

Verdict:

Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures

All Austrian Bundesliga tips →

Kick-off (UTC)	Match	1	X	2
28 Aug 17:30	Austria Lustenau v WSG Tirol	2.40	3.62	2.85
29 Aug 15:00	Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC	3.10	3.67	2.30
29 Aug 17:30	LASK v Rheindorf Altach	1.43	5.00	7.20
30 Aug 15:00	Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz	2.23	3.96	3.10
30 Aug 15:00	Hartberg v Ried	3.00	3.54	2.40
1 Sept 17:30	Wolfsberger AC v LASK	4.25	3.85	1.80
2 Sept 16:30	Austria Wien v WSG Tirol	1.77	3.75	4.45
2 Sept 18:30	RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien	2.07	3.75	3.40

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What is the prediction for RB Salzburg vs Austria Wien?+

Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.15, with a 44% confidence rating.

When does the match kick off?+

RB Salzburg vs Austria Wien takes place Sun · 17:00 in the Austrian Bundesliga.

RB Salzburg vs Austria Wien prediction