Austrian Bundesliga ยท Tue ยท 17:30 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
LASK are the market favourites at 1.8, implying about a 56% chance, while Wolfsberger AC's 4.08 implies roughly 25%.
The draw is priced at 3.85, or around 26% implied probability, keeping it competitive with a home win in the market's eyes.
Our model flags Under 3.0 goals at 1.8 as the value play, with an 11.59% edge over the implied 50% chance.
No value picks cleared the threshold in the match-result market, reinforcing that the goals line is the preferred angle here.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 8.50 |
| 0-1 | 8.9% | 11.21 |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | 11.24 |
| 1-0 | 7.8% | 12.87 |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | 12.92 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 14.81 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.32 and 1.51. These six scorelines cover 52% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท WA | X | 2 ยท LAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| Coolbet | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
| Betsson | 4.25 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Nordic Bet | 4.25 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| 888sport | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
This Austrian Bundesliga clash sees Wolfsberger AC host LASK, with the market leaning firmly toward the visitors. LASK are priced at 1.8, which translates to a roughly 56% implied chance of taking all three points, marking them as clear favourites on paper. Wolfsberger AC sit as sizeable underdogs at 4.08, implying around a 25% probability, while the draw is available at 3.85, or close to 26%. Rather than backing a side outright, our model steers toward the goals market. The recommended bet is Under 3.0 goals at 1.8 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of 50% and a calculated value edge of 11.59%. That edge suggests the price on a lower-scoring contest may be slightly generous relative to the model's expectations, making it the standout angle for this fixture rather than the match result itself.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 3.0 goals at 1.8, supported by an 11.59% value edge over a roughly even implied probability. It is a moderate-risk bet on a controlled, lower-scoring game rather than a match-result call. As always, treat the edge as an estimate and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 17:30 | Austria Lustenau v WSG Tirol | 2.40 | 3.62 | 2.85 |
| 29 Aug 15:00 | Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC | 3.10 | 3.67 | 2.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:30 | LASK v Rheindorf Altach | 1.43 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz | 2.23 | 3.96 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Hartberg v Ried | 3.00 | 3.54 | 2.40 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | RB Salzburg v Austria Wien | 1.43 | 5.20 | 7.22 |
| 2 Sept 16:30 | Austria Wien v WSG Tirol | 1.77 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| 2 Sept 18:30 | RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien | 2.07 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.80, with a 50% confidence rating.
LASK are the favourites at 1.8, which implies about a 56% chance of winning. Wolfsberger AC are the underdogs at 4.08, roughly a 25% implied probability.
The draw is available at 3.85 with Coolbet, equating to an implied probability of around 26%.
Our model identifies value in Under 3.0 goals at 1.8, with an 11.59% edge over the implied 50% chance. No match-result selection cleared the value threshold.
Wolfsberger AC vs LASK takes place Tue ยท 17:30 in the Austrian Bundesliga.
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