Austrian Bundesliga ยท Fri ยท 17:30 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Austria Lustenau are the favourites at 2.46 (about 41% implied), ahead of WSG Tirol at 2.9 (about 34%).
The gap between the two sides is modest, pointing to a closely priced, competitive match-result market.
The draw at 3.6 implies roughly 28%, keeping a stalemate firmly in the picture.
The recommended Under 2.75 goals at 1.95 shows a negative value edge of -3.77%, so it is a lean rather than a strong-value play.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท AL | X | 2 ยท WT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.62 | 2.83 |
| Tipico | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.85 |
| Coolbet | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.46 | 2.75 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
This Austrian Bundesliga fixture sees Austria Lustenau host WSG Tirol, and the match-result market leans towards the home side. Lustenau are priced at 2.46, translating to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while WSG Tirol sit at 2.9, or about 34%. The draw is a genuine consideration at 3.6, implying around 28%. That is a fairly tight spread of prices, which suggests the market views this as a competitive contest rather than a mismatch, even with Lustenau nudged ahead as narrow favourites. Rather than back a side, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Under 2.75 goals at 1.95. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 49%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge is negative at -3.77%, so this is flagged as a lean rather than a standout value spot in this particular matchup.
Verdict: The model favours Under 2.75 goals at 1.95, supported by roughly 49% implied confidence. Honestly, the value edge is negative at -3.77%, so this is a modest lean rather than a strong recommendation. Treat it as a low-conviction angle and stake responsibly within your usual limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 15:00 | Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC | 3.10 | 3.67 | 2.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:30 | LASK v Rheindorf Altach | 1.43 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz | 2.23 | 3.96 | 3.10 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Hartberg v Ried | 3.00 | 3.54 | 2.40 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | RB Salzburg v Austria Wien | 1.43 | 5.20 | 7.22 |
| 1 Sept 17:30 | Wolfsberger AC v LASK | 4.25 | 3.85 | 1.80 |
| 2 Sept 16:30 | Austria Wien v WSG Tirol | 1.77 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| 2 Sept 18:30 | RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien | 2.07 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.88, with a 51% confidence rating.
Austria Lustenau are the narrow favourites at 2.46, implying about a 41% chance, compared with WSG Tirol at 2.9, around 34%.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 28% chance of the points being shared.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.75 goals at 1.95 actually carries a negative edge of -3.77%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine value bet.
Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol takes place Fri ยท 17:30 in the Austrian Bundesliga.
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