Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Hibernian's 1.7 price implies about a 59% chance, making them strong favourites over Kilmarnock's 4.9 (roughly 20%).
The draw is priced at 4.0, an implied probability of around 25%, reflecting a fairly one-sided market.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 sits at about 53% implied confidence but carries a negative edge of -5.6%.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this fixture, so the goals lean is offered with caution.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: pre-match preview
Hibernian host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Hibs are priced at 1.7, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 59%, marking them as clear home favourites. Kilmarnock, out at 4.9 with Marathon Bet, are given only around a 20% chance in market terms, while the draw sits at 4.0, or about 25% implied. Those numbers sketch a contest the bookmakers expect Hibernian to control, though a 20% away price is far from negligible. Rather than back the match result, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 (Coolbet) with a market-implied confidence near 53%. It is worth flagging that this pick carries a negative value edge of -5.6%, meaning it does not clear our usual value threshold. Treat it as a lean rather than a standout opportunity in this fixture.
Verdict: Our lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, backed by roughly 53% implied confidence. Be aware it shows a negative value edge of -5.6%, so it falls short of our value threshold. Consider it a modest, higher-risk angle rather than a strong recommendation, and stake responsibly.
Upcoming Scottish Premiership fixtures
All Scottish Premiership tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v St Johnstone | 1.75 | 3.88 | 4.75 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Celtic v Falkirk F.C. | 1.24 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | 5.00 | 4.12 | 1.72 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v Motherwell | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.86 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Hibernian | 3.15 | 3.57 | 2.25 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Celtic v Aberdeen | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Motherwell v Dundee United | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76.
Hibernian are the favourites at 1.7, an implied probability of about 59%. Kilmarnock are the outsiders at 4.9, around 20% implied.
The draw is priced at 4.0 with Coolbet, which equates to roughly a 25% implied probability.
No selection cleared our value threshold here. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 actually carries a negative edge of -5.6%, so it is a cautious lean rather than a value bet.
The match has not been settled yet — the result is graded automatically once the final score is available.