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Home/ Predictions/ Brasileirão/ Grêmio vs Fluminense

Grêmio vs Fluminense result

Brasileirão · kicked off 26 Jul 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.

Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work

Our published tip

Brasileirão 🕒 26 Jul 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.92
WonResult
1-1Final score
+0.92uProfit
51%Pre-match conf.
+1.59%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions →

Key factors behind our tip

01

The match-result odds are almost level, with Grêmio at 2.65 (around 38%) just ahead of Fluminense at 2.71 (around 37%).

02

The draw at 3.5 implies roughly 29%, consistent with a genuinely balanced fixture where a stalemate is plausible.

03

Our model favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.92, with market-implied confidence near 51%, pointing to a cautious, lower-scoring game.

04

The recommended bet shows a negative value edge of -2.04%, so it reflects a lean rather than a clear pricing advantage over the market.

Team form

GRÊ Grêmio LLWDL
23 Aug 26 @ Bragantino 0-1
16 Aug 26 @ Mineiro 0-3
8 Aug 26 vs São Paulo 2-1
26 Jul 26 vs Fluminense 1-1
17 Jul 26 @ Mirassol 1-2
FLU Fluminense WWDDD
22 Aug 26 vs Clube do Remo 2-1
15 Aug 26 vs Palmeiras 3-2
9 Aug 26 @ Botafogo 1-1
30 Jul 26 vs Bahia 0-0
26 Jul 26 @ Grêmio 1-1

Head-to-head: Grêmio v Fluminense

Full H2H history →
D 26 Jul 26
Grêmio 1-1 FluminenseBrasileirão
L 28 Jan 26
Fluminense 2-1 GrêmioBrasileirão
L 3 Dec 25
Grêmio 1-2 FluminenseBrasileirão
L 3 Aug 25
Fluminense 1-0 GrêmioBrasileirão

W/D/L shown from Grêmio's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.

Grêmio vs Fluminense: pre-match preview

Grêmio host Fluminense in this Brasileirão fixture with the market unable to separate the two sides. Grêmio are marginally shorter at 2.65 with 1xBet, translating to roughly 38% implied probability, while Fluminense sit at 2.71, or about 37%. That narrow gap suggests the bookmakers see this as close to a coin flip between the two, with home advantage barely tipping the scales in Grêmio's favour. The draw is priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, an implied chance near 29%, which is a fairly standard number for an evenly matched contest. Rather than side with either team on the result, our model leans towards the goals market. The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence around 51%. That points to expectations of a tighter, lower-scoring affair rather than an open shootout between Grêmio and Fluminense.

Verdict: The suggested angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.92, backed by tight, near-even match odds and a slight lean towards a low-scoring contest. With a negative value edge, this is a modest call rather than a standout price, so treat it as a low-confidence pick and stake responsibly.

How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.92 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Our record on this fixture

W 26 Jul 26
Draw (X)final score 1-1
3.50 +2.50u
L 26 Jul 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-1
1.99 -1.00u

Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures

All Brasileirão tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
24 Aug 23:00 Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense 2.46 3.40 3.25
29 Aug 21:30 Atletico Mineiro v Vitoria 1.78 3.75 5.29
29 Aug 23:00 Sao Paulo v Bragantino-SP 2.22 3.40 3.56
30 Aug 00:20 Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro 2.51 3.40 3.04
30 Aug 14:00 Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense 2.31 3.20 3.50
30 Aug 19:00 Corinthians v Santos 1.88 3.62 4.75
30 Aug 19:00 Flamengo v Botafogo 1.47 4.50 7.25
30 Aug 21:30 Grêmio v Chapecoense 1.56 4.25 6.60

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Palmeiras 24 15 6 3 +24 51
2 Flamengo 23 13 6 4 +24 45
3 Paranaense 23 12 5 6 +11 41
4 Fluminense 24 11 8 5 +7 41
5 Cruzeiro 24 11 6 7 +1 39
6 Bahia 24 9 10 5 +6 37
7 Bragantino 23 10 5 8 +5 35
8 Coritiba 24 9 7 8 -1 34
9 Mineiro 23 9 6 8 +3 33
10 Corinthians 24 8 8 8 +2 32
11 Botafogo 22 8 6 8 +1 30
12 Vitória 24 8 5 11 -12 29
13 São Paulo 23 7 6 10 0 27
14 Santos 23 6 8 9 -3 26
15 Grêmio 23 6 7 10 -7 25
16 Internacional 24 5 10 9 -4 25
17 Mirassol 23 6 6 11 -10 24
18 Clube do Remo 24 5 8 11 -11 23
19 Vasco da Gama 23 5 7 11 -14 22
20 Chapecoense 23 2 8 13 -22 14

Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for Grêmio vs Fluminense?+

Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.92.

Did the tip win?+

The tip won — final score 1-1 (+0.92u at flat stakes).

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.