Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Gaziantep are the favourites at 2.43 (about 41% implied), ahead of Alanyaspor at 3.02 (about 33%), a modest rather than commanding gap.
The draw is priced at 3.5, implying near 29%, and our model rates its fair probability at 30% for a small positive edge of 3.47%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.01 carries roughly 48% implied confidence but a slightly negative value edge of -2.86%.
With three outcomes all clustered between roughly 29% and 41%, the market frames this as a competitive, closely matched fixture.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor
W/D/L shown from Gazişehir Gaziantep's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor: pre-match preview
This Süper Lig meeting sees Gazişehir Gaziantep host Alanyaspor, and the bookmakers lean towards the home side. Gaziantep are priced at 2.43, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 41%, while Alanyaspor sit at 3.02, or about 33%. The draw is available at 3.5 with Coolbet, implying close to 29%. That is a fairly balanced market rather than a runaway favourite, with the home advantage giving Gaziantep only a modest edge. Our model highlights the total: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.01, close to an even-money proposition with implied confidence around 48%. It is worth noting the value edge on that line is slightly negative at -2.86%, so it reads as a marginal call rather than a standout price. The clearest value flag from the numbers actually sits on the draw, where our fair probability of 30% edges the market price.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.01, an even-money style bet with around 48% implied confidence. Honestly, its value edge is marginally negative, so treat it as a lean rather than a strong call. The draw shows the only positive edge here. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 18:30 | Kocaelispor v Amed SK | 2.46 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 28 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Kocaelispor | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.71 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Goztepe | 1.44 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.59 | 3.62 | 2.71 |
| 30 Aug 16:00 | Eyüpspor v Alanyaspor | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Fenerbahce | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.65 |
| 30 Aug 18:30 | Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK | 1.65 | 4.21 | 5.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Alanyaspor to win at odds of 3.05.
Gazişehir Gaziantep are the favourites at 2.43, implying about a 41% chance, while Alanyaspor are priced at 3.02, around 33%.
The draw is best priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, implying roughly 29%. Our model rates its fair probability at 30%, giving a small positive edge of 3.47%.
Over 2.5 goals is offered at 2.01 with about 48% implied confidence, but the calculated value edge is slightly negative at -2.86%, so it is a marginal pick rather than a clear value spot.
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).