English 
Espaรฑol 
Portuguรชs 
Deutsch 
Franรงais 
Kiswahili 
Hausa 
แ แแญแ โฝ Premier League ๐ Sat ยท 14:00
Our tip
Fulham to win
Odds
2.46
โ
Official pick โ published to our graded record ยท backed by our goal model
ConfidenceValue ยท 44%
AI Value edge 8.82% ยท best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Fulham are favourites at 2.31 (about 43% implied), with Crystal Palace at 3.3 (roughly 30%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying close to 28%, underlining how competitive the market views this fixture.
03
Our recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, shows a value edge of 4.86% and around 53% implied confidence.
04
The draw also flags value, with a fair probability of 29% versus its 3.6 price, a 3.5% edge.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 46%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.6% | 7.34 |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 7.99 |
| 2-0 | 9.8% | 10.20 |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | 10.55 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.11 |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.44 and 0.92. These six scorelines cover 63% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
FUL Fulham WDLLW
24 May 26 vs Newcastle 2-0
17 May 26 @ Wolverhampton 1-1
9 May 26 vs Bournemouth 0-1
2 May 26 @ Arsenal 0-3
25 Apr 26 vs Aston Villa 1-0
CP Crystal Palace LLDLD
22 Aug 26 @ Everton 0-2
24 May 26 vs Arsenal 1-2
17 May 26 @ Brentford 2-2
13 May 26 @ Man City 0-3
10 May 26 vs Everton 2-2
Head-to-head: Fulham v Crystal Palace
Full H2H history โ D 1 Jan 26
Crystal Palace 1-1 FulhamPremier League
L 7 Dec 25
Fulham 1-2 Crystal PalacePremier League
W/D/L shown from Fulham's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท FUL | X | 2 ยท CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.48 | 3.11 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.42 | 3.42 | 3.06 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| Betsson | 2.38 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.38 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: match preview
Fulham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League with the market leaning towards the home side. At a best price of 2.31, Fulham are the favourites, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%. Crystal Palace are priced around 3.3, or about 30% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.6, close to 28%. That is a fairly narrow spread, suggesting a contest the market does not see as one-sided. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model points elsewhere: Under 2.5 goals at 1.97 carries a market-implied confidence of about 53% and a value edge of 4.86%, making it the standout selection here. The pricing also flags the draw as a secondary angle, with a fair probability near 29% against its 3.6 quote. Taken together, the numbers hint at a tight, potentially low-scoring afternoon between Fulham and Crystal Palace.
Verdict: The main pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, supported by a 4.86% value edge and roughly 53% confidence. It is close to an even-money proposition, so treat it as a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong lock, and stake responsibly within your bankroll.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 19:00 | Fulham v Chelsea | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 5.60 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 1.54 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Coventry City v Hull City | 1.94 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Bournemouth v Everton | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | 2.32 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Leeds United v Brentford | 2.63 | 3.52 | 2.90 |
| 30 Aug 13:00 | Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.05 | 3.95 | 3.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton Hove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?+
Our tip is Fulham to win at odds of 2.46, with a 44% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?+
Fulham are the favourites at a best price of 2.31, which implies about a 43% chance. Crystal Palace are the outsiders at 3.3, roughly 30%.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.6, implying around 28%. Our model rates its fair probability closer to 29%, giving a small value edge of about 3.5%.
Is there any value in this match?+
Our model highlights Under 2.5 goals at 1.97 as the best value, with a 4.86% edge and about 53% implied confidence. The draw at 3.6 is a secondary value angle.
When does the match kick off?+
Fulham vs Crystal Palace takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the Premier League.