Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Hearts are the market favourite at 2.35 (about 43% implied), ahead of Falkirk at 3.05 (about 33%).
The price gap between the two sides is modest, suggesting a competitive fixture rather than a clear mismatch.
The draw is priced at 3.5, roughly a 29% implied probability, the least likely of the three outcomes.
Our model assigns Hearts a 46% confidence versus the market's implied figure, producing a value edge of about 8.24% at 2.35.
Team form
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Falkirk F.C. vs Hearts: pre-match preview
Falkirk F.C. host Hearts in the Scottish Premiership on 22 August 2026, and the market leans toward the visitors. Hearts are priced at 2.35 with Coolbet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 43%, while Falkirk sit at 3.05 (Nordic Bet), around 33% in probability terms. The draw is available at 3.5, close to a 29% implied chance. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers see as competitive but tilted in Hearts' favour rather than a one-sided affair. Our model's recommended bet is Hearts to win at 2.35, with a market-implied confidence of 46% and a value edge of about 8.24% over the price on offer. In short, the model believes Hearts are marginally underpriced at this quote. As always with a single match result, the outcome remains uncertain and there is meaningful downside risk to weigh.
Verdict: The recommended play is Hearts to win at 2.35, supported by a modest 8.24% value edge and 46% model confidence. It is a reasonable single-match pick but carries real risk given the narrow price gap with Falkirk. Stake sensibly and treat the outcome as uncertain.
Upcoming Scottish Premiership fixtures
All Scottish Premiership tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v St Johnstone | 1.75 | 3.88 | 4.75 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Celtic v Falkirk F.C. | 1.24 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | 5.00 | 4.12 | 1.72 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v Motherwell | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.86 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Hibernian | 3.15 | 3.57 | 2.25 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Celtic v Aberdeen | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Motherwell v Dundee United | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Hearts to win at odds of 2.35.
Hearts are the favourite at 2.35, which implies roughly a 43% chance, compared with Falkirk at 3.05 (about 33%).
The draw is priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, equating to an implied probability of around 29%, making it the least likely of the three results.
Our model flags Hearts to win at 2.35 as the value pick, with an estimated 8.24% edge and 46% confidence, though no other selections cleared the value threshold.
The match has not been settled yet — the result is graded automatically once the final score is available.