Scottish Premiership · kicked off 22 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Dundee United are favourites at 2.05, implying roughly a 49% chance, while Dundee FC at 3.55 sit near 28%.
The draw is priced at 3.6 (about 28% implied), close to the away side's price and keeping the outcome relatively open.
Our Under 2.5 goals angle carries a market-implied confidence of around 48% but a negative value edge of -5.17%.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this fixture, so the numbers do not point to a standout edge.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
W/D/L shown from Dundee United's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
This Scottish Premiership derby pits Dundee United against Dundee FC, and the market leaves little doubt about which side is preferred. Dundee United are priced at 2.05 with Coolbet, translating to a market-implied probability of around 49%, marking them as the favourites for the home fixture. Dundee FC are the outsiders at 3.55 (Nordic Bet), which equates to roughly 28% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.6 (Coolbet), or about 28%. That is a fairly compact spread for a match with a clear favourite, suggesting the market does not view this as a one-sided affair. Our model does not target the outright result here; instead it leans toward Under 2.5 goals at 1.98 (Coolbet), reflecting a market-implied confidence of about 48%. However, that selection carries a negative value edge of -5.17%, so it sits below our value threshold rather than as a recommended play.
Verdict: The model flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.98, but with a -5.17% value edge it falls short of our threshold and is not a recommended play. Treat it as a coin-flip market rather than an edge. Stake modestly if you engage, and only within a comfortable bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v St Johnstone | 1.75 | 3.88 | 4.75 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Celtic v Falkirk F.C. | 1.24 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| 30 Aug 11:00 | Aberdeen v Rangers | 5.00 | 4.12 | 1.72 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v Motherwell | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.86 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Hibernian | 3.15 | 3.57 | 2.25 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Celtic v Aberdeen | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| 2 Sept 18:45 | Motherwell v Dundee United | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip was Dundee United to win at odds of 2.32.
Dundee United are the favourites at 2.05 with Coolbet, implying roughly a 49% chance. Dundee FC are outsiders at 3.55, around 28% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which equates to a market-implied probability of about 28%.
Not according to our model. No value picks cleared our threshold, and the Under 2.5 goals selection at 1.98 carries a negative value edge of -5.17%.
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).
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