Europa League ยท Thu ยท 19:00 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 ยท how we work
Dinamo Zagreb are priced at 2.02, implying close to 49.5% win probability and making them the clear market favourites over Anderlecht.
Anderlecht's 4.0 price implies only about 25% chance of victory, a notable gap versus the hosts.
The draw at 3.65 implies roughly 27%, keeping a stalemate as a live secondary outcome.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.9 carries 51% implied confidence but a -2.8% value edge, indicating it is not a standout value play by the model's own measure.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท DZ | X | 2 ยท AND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.85 |
| Matchbook | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.65 | 3.79 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.80 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht in a Europa League clash where the betting market clearly leans toward the home side. Best odds of 2.02 on Dinamo imply a probability of roughly 49.5%, comfortably ahead of Anderlecht's 4.0 price, which points to only about 25% for a Belgian win. The draw sits at 3.65, translating to near 27%, suggesting oddsmakers see this as a moderately open contest rather than a one-sided affair. Away from the match-result market, our model flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.9 as the recommended angle, with an implied confidence of 51% but a slightly negative value edge of -2.8%, meaning the price does not clearly outstrip the model's own estimate. No outright value picks against market consensus have been identified for this fixture, so this preview leans on the raw pricing rather than any hidden edge.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals selection at 1.9 reflects a roughly coin-flip expectation of goals rather than a strong statistical edge, given its negative value gap. It is a reasonable, moderate-risk consideration rather than a confident value bet, and bettors should size stakes accordingly and manage bankroll with care.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 16:45 | AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1.33 | 6.25 | 11.00 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Sparta Prague v Lillestrom | 1.40 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | NK Celje v Omonoia FC | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad | 2.55 | 3.85 | 2.84 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Torreense v Sunderland | 8.60 | 5.50 | 1.43 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Lech Poznaล v Bayer Leverkusen | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.68 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Salzburg v AC Milan | 4.36 | 4.10 | 1.91 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Lyon v Crystal Palace | 2.30 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.75 goals at odds of 2.02, with a 48% confidence rating.
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.02 which implies roughly a 49.5% chance of winning, compared with Anderlecht's 4.0 price implying about 25%.
The best available draw odds are 3.65, which implies a probability of close to 27% for the match ending level.
No outright value picks against market consensus were identified for this game. The model's recommended bet, Over 2.5 goals at 1.9, actually carries a slightly negative value edge of -2.8%, so it is not flagged as a strong value opportunity.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht takes place Thu ยท 19:00 in the Europa League.
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