Europa League ยท Thu ยท 16:45 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 ยท how we work
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท LYO | X | 2 ยท CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.71 | 3.23 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.75 | 3.19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Lyon host Crystal Palace in a Europa League clash where the betting market leans toward the home side, but not overwhelmingly so. Nordic Bet's 2.22 on Lyon implies a win probability of roughly 45%, while 1xBet's 3.23 on Crystal Palace points to around 31%, with the draw at 3.71 (about 27%) rounding out a fairly competitive three-way market. None of the outcomes carry heavy favouritism, suggesting bookmakers see this as a fixture without a dominant side. Away from the match result, our model flags the Over 2.75 goals line at 1.81 with Pinnacle as its recommended angle, translating to an implied probability near 55%. However, the model's own confidence sits at 53% with a negative value edge of -4.32%, meaning the number does not clear our usual value threshold and should be viewed cautiously rather than as a standout opportunity.
Verdict:
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 16:45 | AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1.33 | 6.25 | 11.00 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Sparta Prague v Lillestrom | 1.40 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | NK Celje v Omonoia FC | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad | 2.55 | 3.85 | 2.84 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Torreense v Sunderland | 8.60 | 5.50 | 1.43 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Lech Poznaล v Bayer Leverkusen | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.68 |
| 15 Oct 16:45 | Salzburg v AC Milan | 4.36 | 4.10 | 1.91 |
| 15 Oct 19:00 | Jagiellonia Biaลystok v FC Ararat-Armenia | 1.44 | 5.10 | 8.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.0 goals at odds of 2.04, with a 48% confidence rating.
Lyon vs Crystal Palace takes place Thu ยท 16:45 in the Europa League.
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