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አማርኛ ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Flamengo to win
Odds
2.51
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
41%Pre-match conf.
+2.87%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Flamengo are the favourites at 2.51, implying roughly 40% win probability, ahead of Cruzeiro at 3.05 (about 33%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, worth around 29% in implied terms, reflecting a competitive, not one-sided, matchup.
03
Our model flags a small value edge of about 3.38% on Flamengo at 2.51, with market-implied confidence of 41%.
04
No selection cleared our higher value threshold, so the Flamengo lean is marginal rather than a strong standout.
Team form
CRU Cruzeiro WWWWL
22 Aug 26 vs Flamengo 2-1
16 Aug 26 @ Corinthians 2-1
9 Aug 26 vs Mirassol 3-1
31 Jul 26 @ Coritiba 1-0
26 Jul 26 vs Botafogo 0-1
FLA Flamengo LWWDD
22 Aug 26 @ Cruzeiro 1-2
16 Aug 26 @ Mirassol 5-1
9 Aug 26 vs Vitória 2-0
29 Jul 26 @ Internacional 1-1
26 Jul 26 vs São Paulo 1-1
Head-to-head: Cruzeiro v Flamengo
Full H2H history → W 22 Aug 26
Cruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrasileirão
L 12 Mar 26
Flamengo 2-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
D 2 Oct 25
Flamengo 0-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
W 4 May 25
Cruzeiro 2-1 FlamengoBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Cruzeiro's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash sees Cruzeiro host Flamengo, and the market leans toward the visitors. Flamengo are priced at 2.51 with 1xBet, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 40%, while Cruzeiro sit at 3.05 (about 33%) with Nordic Bet. The draw is offered at 3.4 (around 29%) with Coolbet. That spread points to a genuinely open contest rather than a lopsided one, with Flamengo only modestly favoured on the numbers. Our model's recommended bet is Flamengo to win at 2.51, carrying a market-implied confidence of 41% and a slim value edge of about 3.38% over the consensus price. It is worth noting no picks cleared our stronger value threshold here, so this is a lean rather than a standout spot. As always with a closely priced fixture, the outcome remains uncertain and the margins are tight.
Verdict: The recommended play is Flamengo to win at 2.51, backed by a slim value edge of roughly 3.38% and around 41% implied confidence. With prices this close across all three outcomes, this is a low-conviction lean rather than a strong call. Stake responsibly and treat the risk as real.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 23:00 | Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense | 2.46 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| 29 Aug 21:30 | Atletico Mineiro v Vitoria | 1.78 | 3.75 | 5.29 |
| 29 Aug 23:00 | Sao Paulo v Bragantino-SP | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.56 |
| 30 Aug 00:20 | Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro | 2.51 | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense | 2.31 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Corinthians v Santos | 1.88 | 3.62 | 4.75 |
| 30 Aug 19:00 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1.47 | 4.50 | 7.25 |
| 30 Aug 21:30 | Grêmio v Chapecoense | 1.56 | 4.25 | 6.60 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Mineiro | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 | Vitória | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 | São Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 19 | Vasco da Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Our tip was Flamengo to win at odds of 2.51.
Who is the favourite for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Flamengo are the favourites at 2.51 with 1xBet, implying roughly 40% win probability. Cruzeiro are priced at 3.05 (about 33%), so the gap is modest.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 29%.
Is there any value in this match?+
Our model identifies a small value edge of about 3.38% on Flamengo at 2.51, but no selection cleared our stronger value threshold, so it is a marginal lean rather than a firm value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).